Showing posts with label lending rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label lending rates. Show all posts

Monday, January 31, 2011

Banks say cutting rates still a challenge

HCMC – Several bankers say it still proves difficult to cut interest rates in the rest of the year, borrowing and lending alike, as instructed by the Government although their current capital has got a spur following amendments to Circular 13.

The general director of a bank in HCMC’s District 1 said that his bank would not lower the lending rate any more between now and the end of the year as its profit up to date was so low compared to the year’s target. In addition, given current deposit rates, mobilization in Vietnam dong at the bank cannot increase much so the possibility of trimming the rate would be low, he added.

Another banker in HCMC said the rate cut would be minimal if any.

After Circular 13 was amended, which effectively means quantitative easing, the amount of current capital has increased as banks can use part of corporate deposits under call terms for lending, a practice banned under the circular.

However, “although there is the possibility of lower lending rates, the reduction will not be substantial,” explained the banker, who serves as deputy director of the HCMC branch of a big bank.

In September, Vietnam Banks Association had meetings with banks in Hanoi and HCMC to encourage them to reduce interest rates under the Government’s requirement. The association encouraged banks to cut mobilization rates to 11% from October 15 from the current 11.2% per year.

Early this month, the association has sent a document asking banks to comply with the requirement, but Duong Thu Huong, the association’s general secretary, told the Daily that banks would look at each other before making any rate cut decision due to fear of losing depositors.

“Banks are very much hesitant over the rate cut as demanded by the association,” Huong said.

In fact, commercial banks have launched a lot of promotion programs to lure depositors. Besides, according to the leader of a joint-stock bank, several lenders even negotiate deposit rates with clients at this time.

However, Huong also said that besides amending the Circular 13, the interest rates are also determined by the country’s inflation rate this year, which usually gains a faster pace towards the year’s end, as seen in the September CPI at 1.31%.

In addition, deposit rates for the U.S. dollar and gold are increasing, making it harder to cut the rate in Vietnam dong. Therefore, Vietnam Bank Association has asked banks to lower their dollar and gold rates also.

Many banks said that their deposits in gold have strongly increased after the interest rates have increased to 1%-2% per year.

According to the third quarter report of the State Bank of Vietnam, lending rates in Vietnam dong for agricultural sector, exporters, small and medium enterprises are around 12%-12.5% at State-owned banks and 12.5%-13.5% at joint-stock banks while rates for other loans are from 13% to 15% per year. However, only banks’ close corporate clients can enjoy those rates while others are charged at least one percentage point higher.

The report also said that mobilization and lending rates could not decrease to the levels asked by the Government (deposit rate at 10% and lending rate at 12%) due to high pressure on inflation and banks’ difficulties in mobilizing fund.

The new report of the National Financial Supervisory Commission said that after changes to Circular 13, the capital flow has got bigger but basically it is still restricted by the loans-to-deposit ratio at 80% for banks.

In 2009, banks’ outstanding loans accounted for 96.93% of total mobilization, and the ratio was 92.96% in the first half this year. Reducing the ratio further to 80% from October 1 has also proved a hard nut to crack for many banks.

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Banks say cutting rates still a challenge

HCMC – Several bankers say it still proves difficult to cut interest rates in the rest of the year, borrowing and lending alike, as instructed by the Government although their current capital has got a spur following amendments to Circular 13.

The general director of a bank in HCMC’s District 1 said that his bank would not lower the lending rate any more between now and the end of the year as its profit up to date was so low compared to the year’s target. In addition, given current deposit rates, mobilization in Vietnam dong at the bank cannot increase much so the possibility of trimming the rate would be low, he added.

Another banker in HCMC said the rate cut would be minimal if any.

After Circular 13 was amended, which effectively means quantitative easing, the amount of current capital has increased as banks can use part of corporate deposits under call terms for lending, a practice banned under the circular.

However, “although there is the possibility of lower lending rates, the reduction will not be substantial,” explained the banker, who serves as deputy director of the HCMC branch of a big bank.

In September, Vietnam Banks Association had meetings with banks in Hanoi and HCMC to encourage them to reduce interest rates under the Government’s requirement. The association encouraged banks to cut mobilization rates to 11% from October 15 from the current 11.2% per year.

Early this month, the association has sent a document asking banks to comply with the requirement, but Duong Thu Huong, the association’s general secretary, told the Daily that banks would look at each other before making any rate cut decision due to fear of losing depositors.

“Banks are very much hesitant over the rate cut as demanded by the association,” Huong said.

In fact, commercial banks have launched a lot of promotion programs to lure depositors. Besides, according to the leader of a joint-stock bank, several lenders even negotiate deposit rates with clients at this time.

However, Huong also said that besides amending the Circular 13, the interest rates are also determined by the country’s inflation rate this year, which usually gains a faster pace towards the year’s end, as seen in the September CPI at 1.31%.

In addition, deposit rates for the U.S. dollar and gold are increasing, making it harder to cut the rate in Vietnam dong. Therefore, Vietnam Bank Association has asked banks to lower their dollar and gold rates also.

Many banks said that their deposits in gold have strongly increased after the interest rates have increased to 1%-2% per year.

According to the third quarter report of the State Bank of Vietnam, lending rates in Vietnam dong for agricultural sector, exporters, small and medium enterprises are around 12%-12.5% at State-owned banks and 12.5%-13.5% at joint-stock banks while rates for other loans are from 13% to 15% per year. However, only banks’ close corporate clients can enjoy those rates while others are charged at least one percentage point higher.

The report also said that mobilization and lending rates could not decrease to the levels asked by the Government (deposit rate at 10% and lending rate at 12%) due to high pressure on inflation and banks’ difficulties in mobilizing fund.

The new report of the National Financial Supervisory Commission said that after changes to Circular 13, the capital flow has got bigger but basically it is still restricted by the loans-to-deposit ratio at 80% for banks.

In 2009, banks’ outstanding loans accounted for 96.93% of total mobilization, and the ratio was 92.96% in the first half this year. Reducing the ratio further to 80% from October 1 has also proved a hard nut to crack for many banks.

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Thursday, December 9, 2010

Vietnamese inflation quickened in September to 8.92 pct

Vietnamese inflation quickened in September to 8.92 pctVietnamese inflation accelerated for the first time in six months as food and education costs rose, signaling the government may have less scope to push for lower lending rates to bolster the economy.

Consumer prices climbed 8.92 percent in September from a year earlier, compared with an 8.18 percent advance in August, according to figures released Friday by the General Statistics Office in Hanoi. The reading is the highest since May. Prices rose 1.31 percent in September from the previous month.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung’s government is targeting a 25 percent expansion in credit this year and 6.5 percent economic growth, even as inflation has held above its 8 percent goal for eight consecutive months. Today’s data may fan concerns that the drive to increase loans and a recent devaluation of the dong conflict with price stability.

The latest inflation figure is “surprisingly high, even though we had expected greater price pressures this month as the effect of the dong’s devaluation kicked in and world commodity prices rose,” Hai Pham, a Singapore-based analyst at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said in a note. “We are concerned about high inflation becoming more entrenched in the coming months.”

The State Bank of Vietnam weakened the dong’s reference exchange rate by 2 percent last month, citing the need to narrow the trade deficit.

‘Weak currency’

The dong traded at 19,490 per dollar at 1 p.m. in Hanoi from 19,099 before the devaluation was announced. The Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange’s VN Index fell 0.2 percent today to 449.71, and is down 9.1 percent this year.

“Vietnam’s expansionary fiscal and monetary policy are resulting in a weak currency and high inflation,” said Jonathan Pincus, a Ho Chi Minh City-based economist with the Vietnam Program at the Harvard Kennedy School. “Unless we see evidence of tighter policy, we would expect prices to continue to rise.”

The government has been urging commercial lenders to cut loan rates. The central bank said this month short-term lending rates in dong ranged from 12 percent to 15 percent, and that credit growth reached 16.3 percent in the first eight months of 2010 from the end of last year.

While the government is concerned that high lending rates could affect industrial activity, “premature” monetary loosening may cause a “deterioration” in the trade deficit and boost inflation, the International Monetary Fund said in a report this month.

Overall food prices gained 10.81 percent in September from a year earlier, while costs in a category including rice advanced 14.01 percent, today’s report showed. Education prices jumped 15.56 percent from a year ago, and surged 12.02 percent from August.

“The lofty rise in education” largely reflects an increase in tuition costs as well as back-to-school spending, Matt Hildebrandt, a Singapore-based economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co., said in a note.

Economic growth may reach 6.7 percent this year, exceeding the government’s target, Deputy Minister of Planning and Investment Cao Viet Sinh said on Sept. 17.

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Saturday, October 23, 2010

IMF warns Vietnam against rapid rate cuts

VND

The International Monetary Fund warned Vietnam on Wednesday that it risks hard-won market stability by trying to cut lending rates too fast, and said it should maintain the level of the dong currency to safeguard financial calm.

"The repeated announcements by the government about the need to lower the commercial lending rates may be counter-productive," the IMF said in a regular review of Vietnam's economic health.

"A lack of coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, or the appearance thereof, would amplify market skepticism," it said in a statement.

"The government, therefore, needs to convince market participants that its priority rests with macroeconomic stability. For this purpose, staff believes that maintaining the current stable exchange rate ... should be the immediate goal for the government," the IMF said.

State Bank of Vietnam governor Nguyen Van Giau said last week that lending rates were expected to drop. But Giau said they were not falling quickly at present because banks were cutting deposit rates slowly.

The IMF said Vietnam's exchange rate regime policy should be reformed over the medium term.

"A move from the current system that is based on a basket of currencies including those of regional trading partners may be appropriate," the report said.

The IMF review also said there was room for further reduction in Vietnam's budget deficit. Total investment spending was expected to fall this year by three percentage points of GDP from the 2009 level to about 11 percent of GDP, the report said.

The IMF projected GDP growth of 6.5 percent this year and 6.8 percent in 2011.

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Friday, October 8, 2010

Lending rates to drop: central bank

Lending rates to drop: central bankShort-term lending rates in Vietnam are expected to come down, thanks partly to funds the central bank has extended to banks, State Bank of Vietnam governor Nguyen Van Giau was quoted on Wednesday as saying.

Lending rates were not falling quickly at present because banks were cutting deposit rates slowly, Giau said in an interview published by the Finance Ministry-run Vietnam Financial Times newspaper.

“But credit institutions are actively raising funds in coordination with funding support from the State Bank to meet credit demand for the economy,” Giau said in the interview.

“So, short-term lending rates will fall significantly, while the reduction of medium-and longterm lending rates requires time because long-term deposits often rise very slowly and account for a low proportion of overall deposits,” Giau said.

The central bank injects funds into banks via open market operations.

Bank deposits in Vietnam as of August 17 had risen 17.44 percent from the end of 2009, while credit expanded 14.15 percent, Giau said without giving any values.

Credit demand is expected to rise as usual in the last months of the year, Giau said, pledging further steps to keep annual inflation at around 8 percent, economic growth at 6.5 percent and an annual credit growth at 25 percent, as targeted.

The average rate for one-month interbank loans dropped to 8.56 percent during the week ending August 26, from 8.67 percent a week ago, and the rate on three-month loans also eased to 9.74 percent from 9.99 percent, central bank reports said.

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Lending rates to drop: central bank

Lending rates to drop: central bankShort-term lending rates in Vietnam are expected to come down, thanks partly to funds the central bank has extended to banks, State Bank of Vietnam governor Nguyen Van Giau was quoted on Wednesday as saying.

Lending rates were not falling quickly at present because banks were cutting deposit rates slowly, Giau said in an interview published by the Finance Ministry-run Vietnam Financial Times newspaper.

“But credit institutions are actively raising funds in coordination with funding support from the State Bank to meet credit demand for the economy,” Giau said in the interview.

“So, short-term lending rates will fall significantly, while the reduction of medium-and longterm lending rates requires time because long-term deposits often rise very slowly and account for a low proportion of overall deposits,” Giau said.

The central bank injects funds into banks via open market operations.

Bank deposits in Vietnam as of August 17 had risen 17.44 percent from the end of 2009, while credit expanded 14.15 percent, Giau said without giving any values.

Credit demand is expected to rise as usual in the last months of the year, Giau said, pledging further steps to keep annual inflation at around 8 percent, economic growth at 6.5 percent and an annual credit growth at 25 percent, as targeted.

The average rate for one-month interbank loans dropped to 8.56 percent during the week ending August 26, from 8.67 percent a week ago, and the rate on three-month loans also eased to 9.74 percent from 9.99 percent, central bank reports said.

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Thursday, September 30, 2010

Vietnam's lending rates to drop

bank
Photo: Tuoi Tre

HANOI - Short-term lending rates in Vietnam are expected to come down, thanks partly to funds the central bank has extended to banks, State Bank of Vietnam governor Nguyen Van Giau was quoted on Wednesday as saying.

Lending rates were not falling quickly at present because banks were cutting deposit rates slowly, Giau said in an interview published by the Finance Ministry-run Vietnam Financial Times newspaper.

"But credit institutions are actively raising funds in coordination with funding support from the State Bank to meet credit demand for the economy," Giau said in the interview.

"So, short-term lending rates will fall significantly, while the reduction of medium- and long-term lending rates requires time because long-term deposits often rise very slowly and account for a low proportion of overall deposits," Giau said.

The central bank injects funds into banks via open market operations.

Bank deposits in Vietnam as of Aug. 17 had risen 17.44 percent from the end of 2009, while credit expanded 14.15 percent, Giau said without giving any values.

Credit demand is expected to rise as usual in the last months of the year, Giau said, pledging further steps to keep annual inflation at around 8 percent, economic growth of 6.5 percent and an annual credit growth at 25 percent, as targeted.

The average rate for one-month interbank loans dropped to 8.56 percent during the week ending Sunday, from 8.67 percent a week ago, and the rate on three-month loans also eased to 9.74 percent from 9.99 percent, central bank reports said.

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Friday, September 24, 2010

Access to dollar loans grows harder

HCMC – Enterprises will find it more difficult to take out bank loans in the U.S. dollar from now to the end of the year given the banking system’s slower mobilization and the country’s trade deficit reduction effort.

Dinh The Hien, a member of the advisory board of Vietnam Export Import Commercial Bank (Eximbank), said that in the first half of this year when lending rates in dong were much higher than those for the dollar and the forex exchange rate was stable, enterprises benefited much from getting dollar loans.

However, from now to the year-end this advantage will disappear as banks will have to cut lending rates for Vietnam dong funds at the request of the Government, thus either reducing or abolishing the difference between dollar and dong interest rates, Hien added. Many banks are offering lending rates of 12% to 13.5% a year for enterprises at the moment.

Meanwhile, Tran Hoang Ngan, a member of the National Financial and Monetary Policies Advisory Council, said the State Bank of Vietnam had asked lender banks to limit dollar loans to help curb the trade deficit so it would be hard for enterprises to access dollar funds.

Sharing Ngan’s view, Pham Duy Hung, general director of Vietnam Asia Commercial Bank (VietA Bank), said his bank was giving priority to exporters who had dollar revenue.

Since last week, some major lenders such as Asia Commercial Bank (ACB) and Eximbank have raised their interest rates for U.S. dollar deposits to a maximum of 4.45% a year while some other joint-stock banks have increased their dollar deposit rates above 5%.

That shows dollar mobilization could not meet demand for dollar loans at banks. In fact, growth in U.S. dollar credit at banks in HCMC alone was 28.8% in the first seven months of the year while credit growth in Vietnam dong was only 5.1%, show figures of the central bank’s HCMC branch.

Meanwhile, according to figures of the National Financial Supervisory Committee, outstanding loans in the dollar in the banking system have exceeded dollar mobilization by VND40 trillion, equivalent to US$2.05 billion. Therefore, the possibility of banks increasing outstanding loans in the dollar in the rest of the year is small, experts said.

Ngan said export enterprises could borrow dollars as they had foreign currency income to pay debts and the forex rate risk would not be a problem for them. Meanwhile, other enterprises should receive loans in Vietnam dong as banks have reduced their lending rates for the local currency and put on many programs to boost their credit growth in Vietnam dong following their targets for the year.

For example, Asia Commercial Bank (ACB) has announced a VND3 trillion budget to give out loans for enterprises at preferential rates. An Binh Commercial has an unsecured loan program for small and medium enterprises, and Vietnam International Commercial Bank has a credit line of VND1.5 trillion for financing wood processing enterprises.

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