Showing posts with label land fever. Show all posts
Showing posts with label land fever. Show all posts

Monday, January 24, 2011

Herd mentality adds to volatility of fluctuating real estate market

Construction of an apartment building in Ha Noi's Ha Dong District. Many incomplete apartments are bought by people who hope to re-sell their purchases at a profit. — VNA/ VNS Photo Tuan Anh

Construction of an apartment building in Ha Noi's Ha Dong District. Many incomplete apartments are bought by people who hope to re-sell their purchases at a profit. — VNA/ VNS Photo Tuan Anh

HA NOI — Vietnamese citizen Nguyen Hoai Nam bought a plot of land in Ba Vi District's Tan Linh Commune after hearing that the national administrative centre in Ba Dinh District would be moved to Ba Vi.

"I followed my friends and bought the property in the hopes that its price would increase much higher than what I had bought at VND800 million," Nam recalls.

Nam is not alone in his thinking.

It is not uncommon to see a number of investors pouring their money into buying land, following the advice of their relatives and friends.

Vice chairman of the Viet Nam Report Company Phung Hoang Co put forth a survey that found that nearly 62 per cent of the 500 questioned consumers in Ha Noi had bought real estate simply to resell it at a higher price.

"In many cases, herd mentality is a decisive factor to the fluctuating real estate market," said vice general secretary of the Association of Cities of Viet Nam Vu Thi Vinh.

She attributed the trend to insufficient information and a lack of understanding leading to many buyers who are then unable to analyse real changes in the market. Instead, they rely on the advice of acquaintances to buy land.

The Viet Nam Report survey also found that 44 per cent of buyers had invested their own money in buying property; 35 per cent borrowed from their friends and relatives and about 20 per cent used bank loans to buy property.

The desire to buy land has been boisterous in Ha Noi in the past months with projects spanning across the new urban areas of the capital's western region.

Analysts have attributed the trend to the expansion of the Lang-Hoa Lac Highway (now Thang Long Boulevard) and to an exhibition that focused on the capital's vision for development over the coming decades. The exhibition revealed that five satellite cities and the proposed Thang Long axis would link the Ba Vi region to the west of Ha Noi.

Former Vice Minister of Natural Resources and Environment Dang Hung Vo said the recent land fever in Ba Vi in particular and in the western region in general exposed the reality that both managers and investors were not professional.

"How can a project like Ba Vi, which is still waiting for planning approval, create an outbreak of land fever where several hundreds of investors rushed to buy land there?" said Vo.

He said land fever in Ba Vi did not follow market rules. Traders did not study information carefully but simply rushed into decisions because of the herd mentality.

Le Minh Hoang of the Ha Noi Real Estate Joint-Stock Company said most of the land fever actually deflated quickly because investors were short of information. And unfortunately, one negative consequence was wildly fluctuating real estate prices, he said.

Hoang added that the real estate market will be impossible to stablise if investors remain vague about information.

The problem, however, will hopefully be settled after the recent issuance of Government Decree 71, which imposes stricter rules on real estate investment.

Vo said the decree will help solve various issues, including the ways in which project developers raise capital from buyers and the regulations for the transfer of land-use rights, among others.

The decree is also expected to raise the market's transparency.

Vo said he hoped the decree would reject unprofessionalism and speculative investors who often spread misleading information to seek a profit. — VNS

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Thursday, October 7, 2010

Ha Noi property market goes west

The Nam Trung Yen apartment building in the west of Ha Noi's Trung Hoa District. The western areas have great opportunities and resources for real estate development projects. — VNA/VNS Photo Tuan Anh

The Nam Trung Yen apartment building in the west of Ha Noi's Trung Hoa District. The western areas have great opportunities and resources for real estate development projects. — VNA/VNS Photo Tuan Anh

HA NOI — Ha Noi's western areas have great opportunities and resources for real estate development projects, according to real estate experts.

Dang Hung Vo, former deputy minister of Natural Resources and Environment, told participants at a recent workshop focused on real estate and investment opportunities in the west of Ha Noi that investors and individuals had shown an interest in developing the western part of the city.

The decision to develop Ha Noi towards the west was decided by the Government and city authorities several years ago. This tendency towards westward development was confirmed again in the city's recent master construction plan.

Vo said the master plan of expanded Ha Noi was divided into two zones: nuclear urban area and neighbouring regions.

An overall plan for Ha Noi was established to expand these areas. The inner city area will stretch from the left bank of the Red River to the second ring road, reaching a population of about 1.2 million by 2030. High-rise buildings are restricted in this area.

The extensions of the nuclear urban centre, including a chain of urban areas along the fourth ring road and the southern region of the Red River, are expected to reach a population of 1.25 million people by 2030. Investors are being encouraged to build high-rise buildings in this area to shift the population from the inner city.

The series of urban areas to the north of the Red River will consist of Me Linh District, with about 0.45 million people, Dong Anh District, with 0.55 million and Long Bien-Gia Lam districts, with about 0.7 million by 2030.

Five urban satellite towns will include Hoa Lac, Son Tay, Xuan Mai, Phu Xuyen, Phu Minh and Soc Son. Each satellite town will include one or more specific characteristics to support and share the need for urban housing, high-quality training, industry and services, and job creation.

Duong Duc Tuan, deputy director of the Ha Noi Planning and Architecture Department, affirmed that with such development, the western area of Ha Noi would have many opportunities and resources to carry out real estate investment projects. He added that land funds were available for infrastructure projects in the form of build-transfer (BT) and build-operate-transfer (BOT) in this area.

According to many experts, finance problems have posed a challenge. Capital resources from official development assistance (ODA) and foreign direct investment (FDI) are currently difficult to mobilise and the State budget cannot afford the estimated US$70 billion investment.

As a result, capacity to implement the master plan can only rely on resources from the land fund. Appropriate mechanisms and policies should be developed to encourage real estate investors to get involved in the implementation of the master plan in combination with efficient use of land resources.

Land bubble

In the first quarter this year, a land bubble phenomenon occurred in the area around Ba Vi which saw land prices increase unexpectedly. Increases varied between 35 per cent to 45 per cent depending on the specific area, according to the Kim Bai and Ba Vi administrative centres.

During this land fever, land in the west of Ha Noi fetched high prices. For example, land in Van Khe, Ha Dong District ranged from VND70 million ($3,589) to 80 million ($4,102) per sq.m, and in Nam An Khanh the price was around VND30 million ($1,538) per sq.m.

However, fewer transactions are now taking place because many land traders have fled the area. Land prices have fallen by 70 per cent compared with peak land fever prices.

Vo said land fever in Ba Vi did not follow market rules. Traders did not carefully study information about the land but simply rushed to buy land under the herd mentality. Unfortunate consequences are inevitable, he said.

Nguyen Tran Nam, deputy minister of Construction, said commodity prices would follow the market rule which centred around the law of supply and demand and the law of value. Although real estate was a special kind of good, it still complied with economic laws and other factors.

Authorised agencies could regulate prices by increasing supply, he said.

Currently, major capital for the real estate market comes from banks, but financial institutions are beginning to narrow the flow of capital with strict regulations in order to prevent a real estate bubble.

The Ministry of Construction has proposed potential channels for mobilisation of capital for the real estate market in the future, such as real estate trust funds and savings funds on housing. — VNS

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