Sunday, February 6, 2011

New council formed to fight trade fraud

The consultancy council for warning and preventing trade fraud in
certificates of origin (C/O) under the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and
Industry (VCCI) made its debut at a ceremony in Hanoi on October
14.


At the ceremony, VCCI’s Vice President Pham Gia Tuc said
that the council aims to protect Vietnamese producers and enterprises,
as many foreign organisations use fake Vietnamese C/O.


Tuc said
that to make the council more effective, besides cooperating with
domestic organisations, Vietnam needs to work closer with foreign
organisations involved in fighting trade fraud, chambers of commerce and
agencies that grant C/O.


Tran Thi Thu Huong, the council’s
president, said that the council will warn Vietnamese enterprises to
find out more about their customers’ products before signing any
contracts, as they risk facing anti-dumping taxes.


The council
will work with the Ministry of Planning and Investment to provide
consultancies to foreign enterprises before they decide to invest in the
country.


According to VCCI, the number of cases of C/O fraud has
been steadily increasing, especially products that pay anti-dumping
taxes./.

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Market participants still lukewarm despite rally

HCMC – The local market bounced back on Wednesday given supporting news of interbank and lending rate cuts, with the VN-Index gaining 3.38 points, or 0.74%, from the previous session to close at 457.7. However, participation was still lukewarm, with the trade volume dropping and value merely inching up.

The market opened on a slightly weaker note and dropped 1.09 points to 453.23 after the first matching phase.  It recovered slightly from the second matching phase and then moved higher to close at the highest level of the day.

Liquidity stayed low with 25 million shares worth VND698 billion traded, dropping by 17% in volume but increasing by 12% in value against the previous session respectively. On the southern bourse, bids rose 5.7% to 56.7 million shares while offers plunged 20% from the day earlier to 46.4 million shares.

Up to 135 stocks closed the day higher while 71 stocks lost ground, of which 11 issues hit their ceiling prices and three others closed at the floor prices.

Ocean Group Co. (OGC) remained the most active traded stock, advancing 2% to VND30,100 per share on the volume of 1.2 million shares, followed by Agribank Securities Co. (AGR) that jumped to its ceiling price of VND12,800 with around 950,000 shares traded.

Foreign trading improved as the investors bought 4.3 million shares worth VND162 billion and offloaded 2.5 million shares worth VND63 billion, making up 25% and 10% of the market’s buying and selling value respectively.

HCMC Securities Corp. in its comment said on Wednesday’s gain was important in technical terms as the market broke through all major moving averages. “But with volumes at these levels we should not put too much fate in technical moves like these. Investor interest remains very low and it seems that risk tolerance is extremely low at this moment,” said the stock broker.

“Although on Thursday’s move could gather some momentum over the coming days and put price a bit higher, we believe that there are other factors such as the large supply overhang that continue to keep a lid on equity prices. Therefore, any rally is likely to be short-lived for the moment and probably for the coming weeks. With valuations and dividend yields at very reasonable levels, especially if we compare them to a number of other markets in the region, we continue to recommend investors to accumulate positions on any correction,” the broker added.

The Hanoi market also recovered on Wednesday but turnover kept moving down to just VND370 billion. The HNX-Index inched up 0.58 point, or 0.48%, from the previous day to 120.39.

Out of the 344 listed stocks, 134 closed the day higher and 121 stocks closed down, of which four stocks hit the ceiling prices and seven others closed at their floor prices. Foreigners were net buyers to the tune of VND4.6 billion worth of shares.

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Local traders wooed to explore Cuba’s new policies

HCMC – Vietnamese traders are being advised to join a trade and investment forum next month in Cuba’s capital city La Habana, which a trade official said would be a good chance for them to explore new policy changes in the country.

The first-ever forum of its type between Vietnamese and Cuban traders would open up many opportunities for Vietnamese entrepreneurs in both investment and trade, said Nguyen Xuan Khien, head of the American Market Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

He said that Cuba’s recent moves to call for investment into real estate, and give support to the private sector in business deals would be a good opportunity for local traders to push relations with Cuba’s state-owned enterprises.

Khien noted that one of the most liberal policies in the Central American country is that it allows for land leasing contracts with terms of up to 99 years for developers of golf courses, hotels and resorts. The American Market Department will increase researching to provide local traders with further information on preferential investment policies of Cuba, he added.

“Given good political relationship between Vietnam and Cuba, I think that our traders will have more advantages in entering the very new market,” Khien said.

Khien’s department will co-host the Vietnam-Cuba Trade and Investment Forum in La Habana, which is expected to appeal traders of rice, garment and textile, footwear, electronics, and pharmaceutics among others.

Cuba has set up trading relations with Vietnam for long, buying rice, electronics, processed foods, and textile products from Vietnam but mostly through government-to-government contracts. Now is the time for private traders to bolster trade relations.

However, Cuba with its closed-market policy for half a century also has caused difficulties for international traders. Dang Xuan Cuong, head of the import-export division of Vifon Co. specializing in processed foods, said his company began exporting to the country in 2008 and met many difficulties concerning the payment and transport.

Cuban importers, mostly state-owned enterprises, often ask for deferred payment from 300 to 500 days after delivery.

“This retard is seen as part of their trading habits” Cuong said.

The food processor and other enterprises mostly have to deliver goods via a third country to solve the matter.

Another difficulty, according to this salesman, is due to the trade embargo imposed by the U.S. on Cuba that makes sea transport to Cuba prolong up to three months. Despite the difficulties, according to Cuong, Vifon’s next move is to deploy market researching programs in order to grab the different taste and customer habits in this pretty new market.

“I find business opportunities in this market, and market research is the first step for deeper entrance into the market. This is very important since with the constant improvement on policy, I think Cuba in one or two years will be attracting a lot more investors from around the world,” Cuong added.

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Domestic firms gain confidence in business outlook: survey

Domestic firms are pinning high hope on business outlook since Vietnam’s business confidence index (BCI) bounded back in the third quarter, up three points over the last quarter and 37 points against the third quarter in 2008.

The survey, conducted by Vietnam World Vest Base Financial Intelligence Services and PetroVietnam Finance Investment and Consultancy Co, was carried out on 262 companies in 11 domestic key industries, of which over 70 percent were medium and small-sized businesses.

The result signaled a recovery and improved investment potential for Vietnam’s economy in the near future, compared with the first six months of the year.

Over 70 percent of them believed that Vietnam's economy was better than a year ago and nearly 73 percent of businesses believe their profits will rise in the next 12 months. The number of businesses who were optimistic about the prospects for profit growth was around 10.8 percent in the first quarter’s BCI survey.

About 77.23 percent of surveyed enterprises surveyed said that the general economy of Vietnam is now better than the previous 12 months.

When asked to make a forecast about the country’s economy in the next 12 months, 84.35 percent of those interviewed said the economy would be better and none believed they would see a worse economy than during the past six months.

Compared with the second quarter, the number of optimistic businesses increased by 7.19 percent and that of pessimistic ones decreased by 1.85 percent.

As many as 60 percent would increase their employment and invest more in fixed assets while 72 percent believed that their revenues and profits would rise in the next 12 months, the survey said.

But the number of businesses who were worried about revenues and profits were up 0.06 percent and 1.96 percent over the last quarter.

The result also showed that many domestic businesses were still concerned about the adverse effects to their business operations of inflation and fluctuations in the exchange rate between the US dollar and Vietnamese dong.

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Domestic firms gain confidence in business outlook: survey

Domestic firms are pinning high hope on business outlook since Vietnam’s business confidence index (BCI) bounded back in the third quarter, up three points over the last quarter and 37 points against the third quarter in 2008.

The survey, conducted by Vietnam World Vest Base Financial Intelligence Services and PetroVietnam Finance Investment and Consultancy Co, was carried out on 262 companies in 11 domestic key industries, of which over 70 percent were medium and small-sized businesses.

The result signaled a recovery and improved investment potential for Vietnam’s economy in the near future, compared with the first six months of the year.

Over 70 percent of them believed that Vietnam's economy was better than a year ago and nearly 73 percent of businesses believe their profits will rise in the next 12 months. The number of businesses who were optimistic about the prospects for profit growth was around 10.8 percent in the first quarter’s BCI survey.

About 77.23 percent of surveyed enterprises surveyed said that the general economy of Vietnam is now better than the previous 12 months.

When asked to make a forecast about the country’s economy in the next 12 months, 84.35 percent of those interviewed said the economy would be better and none believed they would see a worse economy than during the past six months.

Compared with the second quarter, the number of optimistic businesses increased by 7.19 percent and that of pessimistic ones decreased by 1.85 percent.

As many as 60 percent would increase their employment and invest more in fixed assets while 72 percent believed that their revenues and profits would rise in the next 12 months, the survey said.

But the number of businesses who were worried about revenues and profits were up 0.06 percent and 1.96 percent over the last quarter.

The result also showed that many domestic businesses were still concerned about the adverse effects to their business operations of inflation and fluctuations in the exchange rate between the US dollar and Vietnamese dong.

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US dollar drops on Singapore action, gold climbs

HONG KONG - The US dollar fell broadly to a 10-month low on Thursday after Singapore unexpectedly tightened policy by letting its currency strengthen, lifting Asian stocks and copper to two-year peaks and gold to a record high.

Major European stocks opened higher, mirroring gains in Asia, with the FTSEEurofirst 300 up 0.3 percent in early trade to 1,089.22.

The move by Singapore, viewed by analysts as a preemptive strike before policy loosening by the US Federal Reserve sends more investment to Asia, underscored the global currency tensions that have sparked a war of words among some policymakers.

Indeed, the dollar's decline to near parity against the Australian dollar and a 15-year low against the yen were fresh reminders about the US currency's dim prospects on expectations the Fed will soon have to flood the financial system with more newly printed money, or quantitative easing.

"One thing that people underestimate is that the US will do everything in its power to reflate the economy. It's not just a question of QE2, but if required they will do QE3, QE4 etc," Pranay Gupta, chief investment officer for ING Investment Management Asia Pacific, said.

"Like it or not, loose monetary policy is here to stay and money flow coming out of the US and into Asia is here to stay," said Gupta, who oversees $85 billion in assets.

With the next Fed policy meeting and the next G20 summit still weeks away, the well-worn trade of selling dollars to buy emerging market stocks, commodities and longer-term bonds was still in play.

Singapore's monetary authority surprised traders by tightening policy, which it manages through a secret band in which its currency is allowed to trade. The news prompted the US dollar to fall broadly, pushing up the euro to an eight-month high around $1.4095.

"It is a pre-emptive move," Chua Hak Bin, an economist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said of the Singapore decision.

"Another Fed package would have brought interest rates even lower and driven more capital flows into Singapore."

The US dollar index, which measures the dollar's performance against six other major currencies, slid 0.7 percent to the lowest since December 2009.

The Australian dollar was at US$0.9963, up 0.7 percent on the day and within sight of parity, something not seen since 1982.

Australia's currency, which has benefited from having relatively high yields among G10 currencies, has risen 9.3 percent since September.

The falling US dollar lifted gold prices 0.7 percent to $1,380.45 an ounce, a record high, and copper traded on the London Metal Exchange up 1.5 percent to $8,487.00 a ton, its highest since July 2008.

Climbing commodity prices have been a boon for resource-related shares, and the materials sector gave the biggest lift to MSCI's index of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan.

The index was up 1.5 percent to the highest since June 2008, having risen 14.5 percent since September, outpacing the 11 percent rise in the all-country world index.

Japan's Nikkei share average led gainers in Asia, up 2 percent. Resource stocks led the rise, although analysts said the yen's strength would limit the market's upside potential.

Gains in oil-related stocks helped to push up Hong Kong's Hang Seng index 1.1 percent to a 28-month intra-day high.

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp (Sinopec) stock rose 1.2 percent after analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch added the stock to its Asia Pacific Focus 1 portfolio, a list of its highest conviction buy-rated stocks.

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Saturday, February 5, 2011

Indexes rebound on low volume

The VN-Index gained 0.74 percent to close on Oct. 13 session at 457.7 points.


Blue chips had an impact, with Bao Viet Holding (BVH) up 4.20 percent,
VietinBank (CTG) 0.53 percent, the Corporation for Financing and
Promoting Technology (FPT) 1.40 percent, Hoa Sen Group (HSG) 0.1 percent
and the most daily active stock, Ocean Group (OGC), 2.03 percent,
despite a meagre volume of 1.2 million shares.


Meanwhile, the trading volume of the market stayed low at 24.2 million
shares worth 637.1 billion VND (32.7 million USD).


BVH was the highlight on Oct. 13. Foreigners bought 151,890 BVH shares, accounting for 85 percent of the share's trading.


The HNX-Index on the Hanoi Stock Exchange inched up 0.48 percent to
120.39 points, on a total volume of 16.9 million shares.


Trading remained lacklustre with only 370.1 billion VND (18.9 million
USD) changing hands. PetroVietnam Construction (PVX) saw the biggest
volume traded, with 2.05 million shares.


The
Government late on Oct. 12 asked the State Bank to draw up a plan for
commercial banks that would tighten money circulation, which would help
ease inflation pressure and stabilise the economy by the end of the
year./.

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