Sunday, January 16, 2011

Dow Jones rally lifts indexes

The VN-Index rose for the second day by 2.16 percent to close on Oct. 6's trade at 460.72 points, tracking Dow Jones' five-month high overnight.


Trading volume was back in the black with 37.6 million shares changing hands, worth a combined 1.01 trillion VND (1.8 million USD).


Almost all stocks on the HCM Stock Exchange reached the highest increase in price [5 percent] for penny stocks, including Cuong Thuan IDICO Development & Investment (CTI), Tay Bac Mineral Investment (KTB) and Binh Thanh Import-Export Production and Trade (GIL).


Blue chips also faired well on the southern bourse, such as Bao Viet Holdings (BVH), steel producer Pomina (POM), Tan Tao Industrial Park (ITA) and property trader Vincom (VIC).


Bank stocks rose slightly, despite concerns about lending rates, which have not decreased due to inflationary pressure.  

Sacombank (STB), considered the most active stocks at 2.05 million shares, and Eximbank (EIB) rose 0.1 percent and Vietcombank (VCB) rose 0.6 percent, while VietinBank (CTG) closed unchanged.


The HNX-Index of the Hanoi Stock Exchange rose by 2.31 percent on Oct. 6, closing at 124.84 points on a total volume of 28.9 million shares.


The day's trading value fell to 639.3 billion VND (32.8 million USD), down 11.2 percent from Oct.5's session, with PetroVietnam Construction (PVX) seeing the highest volume of 3.38 million shares.


Blue chips on the northern bourse rallied, including Asia Commercial Bank (ACB), up 0.2 percent; Bao Viet Securities (BVS), 0.6 percent; Kim Long Securities (KLS), 0.8 percent; and PVX, 1.1 percent.


Foreigners on Oct. 6 bought in 4.9 million shares in both stock exchanges, for a total value of 175.2 billion VND (nearly 9 million USD)./.

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Domestic gold prices set new record

Domestic gold prices set new record

Domestic gold prices soared on Oct. 6 to a new record of 33 million VND
per tael (1,690 USD), an increase of 1.4 million VND (72 USD) per tael
over Oct.5's price, as speculators created a run on gold shops.


A tael is equivalent to 1.2 ounces.


The gold-selling districts in Hanoi and HCM City were thronged
with people and saw prices change at least four times in the morning,
with Sai Gon Jewelry Co (SJC), Sacombank Jewelry Co, Bao Tin Minh Chau,
Agribank Jewelry Co and Phu Nhuan Jewelry Co quoting buy/sell prices at
32.85/33 million VND.


Domestic gold prices have
increased by over 24.4 percent since January, when prices stood at about
26.5 million VND (1,360 USD).


Sacombank Jewelry
general director Nguyen Ngoc Que Chi said on Oct. 6's rush of buyers was
due to a large number of speculators who had bought futures contracts
in prior months and now sought to acquire gold before the price shot up
further, putting a run on the available supply of the precious metal.


SJC's Hanoi director, Luu Quang Dien, agreed,
adding, "Many big trades are made by phone and the supply is limited, so
the company has to select familiar customers to whom to sell."


The increase made domestic gold price be 1 million VND (51.28 USD)
higher than global gold price, which ignites concerns involving gold
smuggling to take profits. Domestic price is normally just
200,000-300,000 VND higher than global price.


Rumours were rife on the gold market last week that supplies were
falling short of demand and that gold prices would continue to set new
record highs,so State Bank of Vietnam Governor Nguyen Van Giau
attempted to counter the rumours and blamed any rises in prices on
speculation rather than a gold shortage.


"With this
kind of sensitive item, our policy is not to completely ban gold
imports, but gold companies are not permitted to import any volume they
want," Giau said.


"Despite the shortage of gold at
this time, I don't think the State Bank of Vietnam will allow
enterprises to import more because of foreign exchange rates and
inflation," commented the head of a jewelry company who asked to remain
unnamed.


On the global market on Oct. 6, spot gold rose as high as 1,349.80 USD per ounce, its eighth record in the past two weeks.


The US dollar on black market on Oct. 6 also rose by 170 VND to
19,750-19,850 VND while bank exchange rates remained unchanged at 19,500
VND per dollar./.

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HCM City targets 12 percent growth in 2011-2015

Le Thanh Hai, secretary of the HCM City Party Committee, has said the
city will try its best to attain an annual GDP growth rate of 12 percent
during the 2011-15 period.


In a political report
delivered at the 9th Party Congress of HCM City, Hai said the city
targeted an annual value-added growth of 13 percent for its service
sector; 11 percent for the manufacturing sector and 5 percent for
agriculture.


Hai said in 2015, the service,
industrial and agricultural sectors would account for 57, 42 and 1
percent of the city's GDP, respectively.


Other targets contained in the report include maintaining the city's birth rate at less than 1.1 percent per annum.


By the end of 2015, per capital income in the city will reach 4,800 USD compared with 2,800 USD in 2010.


The city will create 120,000 new jobs every year compared with nearly 118,000 per year in the 2006-10 period.


Hai also said that by the end of 2015, skilled workers would make up 70 percent of the city's workforce.


The number of families under the poverty line of 12 million
VND/person/year would drop to below 2 percent of the city's population,
he said.


By the end of the next five-year plan, the city's doctor-patient ratio would be 15 for every 10,000 residents.


The number of households in urban areas accessing clean water would reach 98 percent.


The city targets building 39 million square metres of new housing,
raising the per capita housing area in the city to 17 sq.m in 2015 from
14.3sq. m in 2009.


Hai said 100 percent of solid
waste and wastewater generated by city enterprises would be collected
and treated by the end of the next five-year plan period, and all
industrial parks and export processing zones without exception would
have central wastewater treatment systems.


He added
that the city would pay a lot of attention to envionmental protection by
promoting green production and improving development quality.


It would also give priority to developing its service sectors
including financial, banking, commerce, transportation, post and
telecommunications, warehousing and port services.


Due attention would be paid to the development of the ITC, real estate
and tourism industries, as well as the health, and education and
training sectors, Hai said.


The city would focus on
developing public transportation, including urban railway projects,
expressways and beltways to connect the city with the Mekong Delta and
other localities in the country, he added.


Authorities would spare no effort to curb traffic jams and prevent
flooding. A programme covering 100sq.km had been mapped out to stop
flooding in inner districts and to prevent flooding elsewhere.


The city would continue its efforts to create a level playing field
for companies from different economic sectors and to assist small- and
medium-sized enterprises to access loans, technology and new markets,
Hai said./.

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Banks expected to reduce interest rates

Commercial banks are expected to lower interest rates on deposits and
loans in compliance with the State Bank of Vietnam's Circular 19, which
took effect on October 1.


The circular, issued on September 27, amended content in Circular 13 on capital-adequacy ratios.


The major adjustment is the redefinition of deposits, which would ease the pressure on banks to mobilise funds.


Because deposits from the State Treasury are counted in the banks'
mobilisation funds for lending, banks would be able to expand the number
of deposits.


Commercial banks' demand deposits from the State Treasury this year were estimated at 57 trillion VND (2.94 billion USD).


That amount is considered to be sufficient to use as a cheap source of
capital, and to balance the high interest rates on mobilised capital.


The circular also allows banks to use 25 percent of
non-term deposits from enterprises as a source of funding for lending.
It can be used because this source of non-term deposit is often stable
at 20 percent to 30 percent.


Three months of loans from other credit institutions can be added to funds for lending, according to the circular.


Small banks will be able to more easily access cheap capital from
larger banks, with the current interbank interest rate ranging from 8 to
9 percent.


After the circular took effect on October 1, the market showed signs of lower interest rates.


For example, Dai A Bank has eased deposit rates by 0.14 percent to 0.2 percent per year.


Customers with deposits in Vietnam dong for a one-month term and US
dollars for one to two months would be entitled to get interest rates of
10.95 percent per year, and 3.75 percent per year, respectively.


Nam A Bank has announced a lending programme of up to 1 trillion VND
(51.5 million USD) for small – and medium – sized enterprises'liquid
capital at interest rates of 13 percent for dong and 5 percent for the
US dollar.


Western Bank has lowered loan rates for
small enterprises by 1 percent, and transaction fees for the first three
months by 30 percent.


An Binh Bank has given priority to small enterprises by offering an annual 1 percent rate lower.


Phuong Dong Bank has cut car loan rates by 0.5 percent.


The Vietnam Banks Association (VNBA) has recently proposed that
commercial banks cut down highest deposit interest rate from 11.2
percent per year to 11 percent.


VNBA has also
suggested that banks slash the demand deposit interest rate from the
common rate of 4.8 percent to ease business expenses, which would lower
lending interest rates.


VNBA said that the deposit
rate for US dollars at commercial banks, at 4.7 percent to 5.2 percent
per year, is an emerging trend. The rates are currently very high in
comparison to the international market.


Therefore,
VNBA has urged commercial banks to reduce US-dollar deposit rates to
create a balance with dong-deposit rates, creating conditions for dong
interest rates to drop.


Le Tham Duong, head of the
business administration department of HCM City University of Banking,
said because the total outstanding loan growth had been quite low, banks
were entering an output race that would lead to the fall of both
deposit and loan interest rates in the near future.


Total trading volume in Vietnamese dong was 65.93 trillion VND (3.38
billion USD) during the final week last month, down 29.55 percent
against the previous week, according to a report issued by the State
Bank of Vietnam.


The dramatic decrease in interbank
trading signals that liquidity at banks has improved after the central
bank loosened capital regulations through the amendment of Circular 13
taking effect last week.


During the past two months, the trading volume hovered around 90-100 trillion VND (4.61-5.12 billion USD).


Average interbank trading increased slightly by 0.13-0.19 percent for
three month loans. Interbank trading has increased on average by
6.77-8.52 percent per year. Interest rates for loans that exceed three
months were down 0.06-0.48 percent to about 10.12-10.55 percent.


During the same period, total trading volume in the US dollar was also
15.37 percent to 2.52 billion USD. Interest rates for the dollar loans
were about 0.33-1.43 percent per year.


As of
September 27, credit growth in the banking industry was 19.27 percent.
Total loan allocation for property was 218 trillion VND (11.18 billion
USD), up 18 percent, loans for securities were up 19.8 percent to reach
15 trillion VND (769.23 million USD), loans for consumers increased by
19.7 percent to 151 trillion VND (7.74 billion USD).


Loans for agricultural and rural development and small and medium enterprises were up about 19-20 percent./.

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Vietnam may allow gold imports if local prices jump

HANOI - Vietnam's central bank said on Thursday it would consider granting permits for gold imports if prices in the domestic market rose "unreasonably high", helping to drive world bullion prices up to another record.

Spot gold, which has rallied 8 percent over the past month, hit an all-time peak for a third straight session on Thursday, rising above US$1,355 an ounce, as a weak dollar pushes investors to bullion in the face of economic uncertainty and speculation of further monetary easing by central banks.

Nguyen Quang Huy, director of the foreign exchange department of the State Bank of Vietnam, said gold prices were still largely in line with world markets but the central bank was closely monitoring the situation.

"If gold prices in the country rise unreasonably high, the state bank may consider giving permission to businesses to import gold, at appropriate volumes and times, to stabilize the market so that the price of gold in the country sticks with the price of world gold," he said on the central bank's website, www.sbv.gov.vn.

Dealers said the Vietnamese comments helped nudge the price of gold up.

"People are going to focus on the fact that the Asian physical market will be tight. Last time Vietnam opened the door to gold imports, gold went up $20. In percentage terms, it could translate into $30 today," said a Singapore-based trader.

In Vietnam, gold rose to VND32.80/32.89 million per tael from VND32.67/32.75 million early on Thursday, according to Saigon Jewelry Corp, the country's biggest gold dealer. One tael equals 1.21 troy ounces.

The unofficial exchange rate stood at 19,800/19,850 dong per dollar at a major Hanoi gold shop, putting the gold price in Vietnam at a premium of about $20 to global market prices.

Vietnam banned gold imports in mid-2008 to help tackle a trade deficit as the economy overheated, but the central bank has granted import quotas on a selective basis since.

Repeat scenario

Foreign exchange dealers have said the rise in global gold prices, and curbs on imports, had fed smuggling. Demand for dollars to buy this gold overseas was pushing down the value of the dong.

The scenario appears to be a repeat of pressures that built up in Vietnam about a year ago, leading the central bank to grant quotas for several tons of gold imports.

The pressure on the dong continued, however, and the central bank devalued the currency and raised interest rates just weeks after relaxing the import ban.

Nguyen The Hung, chief executive officer of Vietnam Gold Corp, said domestic supply was limited as investors had sold and businesses had increased gold exports when prices hit VND29-30 million per tael.

He said the differential between domestic and world gold prices had to be addressed. "The gap requires measures from the central bank," he said.

Traders said there had been a significant amount of gold suggled into Vietnam from neighboring countries and Thailand.

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Japan mulls Asia-Pacific free trade talks

TOKYO - Japan is considering joining negotiations for a free trade partnership among Asia-Pacific nations in a bid to bolster its ailing economy, the foreign minister said Thursday.

Foreign Minister Seiji Maehara said the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) concept, including Japan's key ally United States, may help boost Japan's efforts to conclude free trade deals to increase exports.

"The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement stands as our promising framework for economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region," Maehara said in an address to a Japan-US business conference in Tokyo.

"I'm fully committed to making the greatest possible efforts to promote Japan's (free trade agreement) and (economic partnership agreement) policies, including looking into Japan's participation in TPP negotiations," he said.

Washington has said it would enter TPP talks, viewing such a deal as a means to advance US economic interests with fast-growing Asia.

Australia, Brunei, Chile, New Zealand, Malaysia, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam have also said they will join the talks.

Japan has lagged behind other Asian countries -- such as South Korea which Wednesday agreed a pact with the European Union -- in sealing free trade deals.

Former Japanese prime minister Yukio Hatoyama proposed building an East Asian community similar to the EU through economic integration, but the idea evaporated after his resignation in May.

Maehara, who has argued for a stronger Japan-US security alliance, welcomed further American involvement in Asia through forums such as the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), which Japan hosts this year.

"I believe the active engagement of the United States in this region is an indispensable element for the peace and prosperity in the region," he said.

"I'm greatly encouraged by these signs of increased US commitment to the region," Maehara said.

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Dollar stays weak as it hits new 15-year yen low

TOKYO - The dollar stayed weak against the yen in Asia on Thursday after it hit a new 15-year low amid expectations of additional monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve, dealers said.

The dollar fetched 82.87 yen in Tokyo trade, close to a new 15-year low of 82.75 yen hit briefly in New York on Wednesday and near the level at which Japan carried out its first intervention since 2004 in September.

The euro was trading at 1.3930, hardly changed from 1.3928 in New York late Wednesday. It slipped to 115.39 yen from 115.58.

The greenback also fell to 29.88 Thai baht from 29.94 Wednesday, after Thailand's currency strengthened beyond 30 baht to the dollar for the first time in more than 13 years.

The unit, which has appreciated around 10 percent this year, roared past the psychologically important level, fanning concerns over the key export sector.

"The basic trend is dollar selling on the expected credit easing... The market is now sensitive to any negative news on the US economy," said Yasuyuki Takeuchi, dealer at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking.

The dollar came under new pressure in New York Wednesday after a report from payrolls firm ADP showed an unexpected drop in private sector jobs in September, highlighting concerns about the lagging economic recovery.

The data fuelled concerns that a closely watched government survey on non-farm payrolls for September due Friday may also indicate weakness.

The markets increasingly expect the US Federal Reserve to pump more money into the system to boost the flagging economy, even if doing so weakens the dollar and risks stoking inflation.

The dollar resisted further falls from the low hit in New York on speculation of further Japanese intervention, but some players believe Tokyo cannot move before a Group of Seven (G7) meeting starting Friday, dealers said.

"Some players are feeling safe (about pushing the dollar lower) as they believe Japan's intervention would at best be a solo move" with other countries also wanting to keep their currencies low to promote exports, Takeuchi said.

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the G7 economic powers are to hold two-day talks in Washington starting Friday.

Satoshi Tate, senior dealer at Mizuho Corporate Bank, told Dow Jones Newswires earlier that the dollar may fall as low as to 82.30 later Thursday.

If Japan intervenes, the dollar may rise to 85.50 but otherwise the upside would be limited around 83.50 Thursday, he said.

The dollar was mixed against other Asian currencies.

It fell to 1,115.40 South Korean won from 1,119.00, to 1.3074 Singaporean dollars from 1.3097 and to 43.46 Philippine pesos from 43.50.

The dollar firmed to 30.76 Taiwan dollars from 30.74 and to 8,922.50 Indonesian rupiah from 8,920.00.

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