Showing posts with label Finance Minister. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance Minister. Show all posts

Saturday, January 22, 2011

Japan stands firm on FX, China lets yuan rise

TOKYO - Japan said it will continue to intervene to curb a strong yen if necessary, just hours before G7 and IMF officials meet to discuss escalating tension over currency policies, and Thailand is also poised to act.

China, which has rebuffed calls from the West to let its currency rise faster, allowed the yuan to firm on Friday to its highest against the dollar since a revaluation in July 2005.

Traders said Beijing may be making some concessions ahead of International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings this weekend. But they said any further rise would be limited so as not to harm its exports.

With positions entrenched, expectations for any meaningful agreement in Washington are low although fears of a global currency war have jumped to the top of the agenda.

"We are approaching a G7 meeting, but regardless of this, Japan will take firm measures, including intervention, when needed," Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda told reporters when asked about the yen's rise to another 15-year high on Thursday. "This is Japan's basic stance."

Japan, worried a strong yen would hit its vital export sector, intervened in the market for the first time in six years last month, drawing criticism from its peers.

Prime Minister Naoto Kan sounded a little more conciliatory, saying Tokyo wanted to cooperate with its Group of Seven peers on currencies, but in the same breath reiterated the message that the authorities would take "decisive steps" if needed.

G7 leaders hold a closed-doors dinner on Friday.

Emerging anger

Global policymakers have been clashing over the dollar's broad-based decline, with emerging economies stepping up efforts to cap their currencies, actions which developed nations argue could derail economic recovery.

Thailand's finance minister will propose measures to handle the baht's strength at a cabinet meeting next week, Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva said on Friday.

The baht, which has risen about 11 percent against the dollar this year, the second-best performer in Asia after the yen, slipped after the comments.

Russian Deputy Finance Minister Dmitry Pankin said Brazil, China, India and Russia -- the so-called BRICs -- see the current moves in emerging markets currencies as a deeper problem that cannot be solved through a free float.

"Free float is not an exit prescription, it's not a prescription for all illnesses," he told reporters after a meeting of deputy finance ministers in Washington on Thursday.

Chinese premier Wen Jiabao, in Europe this week, politely rejected calls to let the yuan appreciate faster and Brazil on Monday doubled a tax on foreign investors buying local bonds, trying to curb a currency rally.

Yi Gang, a deputy governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), was quoted as saying on Friday that while China would continue to reform its exchange rate regime a sharp rise in the yuan would harm its economy.

Entrenched positions

Despite low expectations for the weekend talks in Washington, moves are afoot to create a more effective forum to tackle currency issues.

France will start talks on overhauling the global monetary system during its forthcoming G20 presidency to improve policy coordination and stem capital flows distorting exchange rates, Economy Minister Christine Lagarde said.

"If you look ... at the latest moves that are taking place, whether from Brazil or from Japan for instance, let alone from China, you really wonder what kind of coordination there is," she said.

German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reported that IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn plans to present the lender's members with a "systemic stability initiative" which will bring together the world's leading economic powers in a regular forum aimed at resolving currency issues.

Participants would include the United States, large European countries, Japan, China and other emerging market countries that are important for the global financial system, the newspaper said without citing sources.

Officials from developing markets say ultra-low interest rates in rich countries are fueling massive fund flows into their markets, pushing up their currencies and inflating prices of stocks, property and other assets.

Japan cut interest rates to zero this week and the US Federal Reserve is also expected to ease policy further.

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Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Japan intervenes to weaken yen for 1st time in 6 years

yen
Foreign exchange broker stand in front of a television screen showing Japan's Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda speaking to the media in Tokyo September 15, 2010.
Photo: Reuters

TOKYO - Japan sold the yen in the market on Wednesday for the first time in six years, trying to stop the currency's relentless climb from hurting exporters and threatening a fragile economic recovery.

Fresh after a victory in party leadership contest, Japan's Prime Minister Naoto Kan appeared to be stepping up efforts to wrench the country out of deflation by targeting yen strength, which has weighed on stock prices and corporate profits.

Estimates vary on how much Japan has spent so far in its first intervention in the foreign exchange market since spending 35 trillion yen in 2003-2004. Dealers talk about 300-500 billion yen though some reports put it closer to 100 billion yen.

The US dollar extended its gains against the yen after an official at Japan's Ministry of Finance said intervention was not finished, climbing more than 2 percent on the day above 85 yen and nearly two yen above a 15-year low.

Wednesday's action pleased its target audience: major Japanese exporters.

"We applaud the move by the government and the Bank of Japan to correct the yen's strength." Japan's No. 2 automaker Honda Motor Co. said in a statement. Honda has penciled in the yen at 87 to the dollar in its financial estimates for the 2010/2011 business year.

The Bank of Japan will not drain the money flowing into the economy as a result of the yen selling, sources familiar with the matter said, indicating coordinated efforts with the government to support the economy.

The central bank may follow up with additional steps, such as buying more government debt, economists said.

Analysts doubt other countries would help Japan tamp down the yen since they also need weaker currencies to boost exports and growth. Intense pressure from Washington on China to let its currency strengthen also makes any attempts by major economies to weaken their currencies particularly sensitive.

Sympathy

Japan's Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda indicated that Tokyo acted alone, but said he was in contact with overseas authorities and analysts said Japan would probably be spared international criticism.

"Japan will be seen as a special case. Obviously its economy has been in significant trouble for a while, stocks have been depressed for some time, export performance relative to the Asian peer group has been very weak," Simon Flint, global head of foreign exchange research with Nomura in Singapore, said.

"To some degree there will be some sympathy in the rest of the world for Japan's predicament."

US officials at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury declined to comment immediately about Tokyo's action.

Analysts doubted whether Kan's government was ready for another protracted battle similar to the 15-month yen selling spree earlier this decade given lingering questions about the effectiveness of the last campaign.

"The amount of intervention isn't likely to be as much as Japan was spending the last time it intervened, so it won't be enough to stop dollar/yen from falling. It is also unlikely that other countries will cooperate," said Junya Tanase, currency strategist at JP Morgan in Tokyo.

Noda would not say whether the authorities were buying dollars, but two traders said the Bank of Japan appeared to have bought dollars around 83 yen at the start of the action.

The Bank of Japan acts on behalf of the Ministry of Finance in currency intervention.

"We will take decisive steps if necessary, including intervention, while continuing to closely watch currency market moves from now on," Noda told reporters at a hastily arranged news conference.

The dollar had hit a 15-year-low at 82.87 yen earlier in the day but was at 85.12 yen by midday.

Will the yen stop rising?

Kan's government has been trying to talk down the yen as it kept moving away from the 90 yen per dollar level most exporters had assumed in their financial plans. Until Wednesday, however, it had stopped short of intervening, apparently worried that acting without Group of Seven partners would not achieve much.

Kan was re-elected ruling party leader on Tuesday, decisively fending off a challenge from powerbroker Ichiro Ozawa, an outspoken advocate of intervention.

"There were views in the market that Kan was more tolerant of a higher yen and the yen rose after he won the ruling party leadership vote yesterday," said Yasuo Yamamoto, senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute.

"The government probably wanted to stamp out those views. But the question is: Will the yen stop rising from here? It's not clear."

The yen had surged to its highest against the dollar since 1995, as low US interest rates have made the dollar cheap to borrow and swap for higher-yielding assets and as talk has resurfaced that the Fed might loosen its policy further.

The Japanese currency's rise has brought it closer and closer to its record peak of 79.75 per dollar set in 1995 and has weighed on the Tokyo stock market's Nikkei average, which climbed 1.8 percent on the day as news of the intervention spread.

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