Sunday, January 16, 2011

Dollar stays weak as it hits new 15-year yen low

TOKYO - The dollar stayed weak against the yen in Asia on Thursday after it hit a new 15-year low amid expectations of additional monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve, dealers said.

The dollar fetched 82.87 yen in Tokyo trade, close to a new 15-year low of 82.75 yen hit briefly in New York on Wednesday and near the level at which Japan carried out its first intervention since 2004 in September.

The euro was trading at 1.3930, hardly changed from 1.3928 in New York late Wednesday. It slipped to 115.39 yen from 115.58.

The greenback also fell to 29.88 Thai baht from 29.94 Wednesday, after Thailand's currency strengthened beyond 30 baht to the dollar for the first time in more than 13 years.

The unit, which has appreciated around 10 percent this year, roared past the psychologically important level, fanning concerns over the key export sector.

"The basic trend is dollar selling on the expected credit easing... The market is now sensitive to any negative news on the US economy," said Yasuyuki Takeuchi, dealer at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking.

The dollar came under new pressure in New York Wednesday after a report from payrolls firm ADP showed an unexpected drop in private sector jobs in September, highlighting concerns about the lagging economic recovery.

The data fuelled concerns that a closely watched government survey on non-farm payrolls for September due Friday may also indicate weakness.

The markets increasingly expect the US Federal Reserve to pump more money into the system to boost the flagging economy, even if doing so weakens the dollar and risks stoking inflation.

The dollar resisted further falls from the low hit in New York on speculation of further Japanese intervention, but some players believe Tokyo cannot move before a Group of Seven (G7) meeting starting Friday, dealers said.

"Some players are feeling safe (about pushing the dollar lower) as they believe Japan's intervention would at best be a solo move" with other countries also wanting to keep their currencies low to promote exports, Takeuchi said.

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the G7 economic powers are to hold two-day talks in Washington starting Friday.

Satoshi Tate, senior dealer at Mizuho Corporate Bank, told Dow Jones Newswires earlier that the dollar may fall as low as to 82.30 later Thursday.

If Japan intervenes, the dollar may rise to 85.50 but otherwise the upside would be limited around 83.50 Thursday, he said.

The dollar was mixed against other Asian currencies.

It fell to 1,115.40 South Korean won from 1,119.00, to 1.3074 Singaporean dollars from 1.3097 and to 43.46 Philippine pesos from 43.50.

The dollar firmed to 30.76 Taiwan dollars from 30.74 and to 8,922.50 Indonesian rupiah from 8,920.00.

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