Saturday, January 22, 2011

Japan stands firm on FX, China lets yuan rise

TOKYO - Japan said it will continue to intervene to curb a strong yen if necessary, just hours before G7 and IMF officials meet to discuss escalating tension over currency policies, and Thailand is also poised to act.

China, which has rebuffed calls from the West to let its currency rise faster, allowed the yuan to firm on Friday to its highest against the dollar since a revaluation in July 2005.

Traders said Beijing may be making some concessions ahead of International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings this weekend. But they said any further rise would be limited so as not to harm its exports.

With positions entrenched, expectations for any meaningful agreement in Washington are low although fears of a global currency war have jumped to the top of the agenda.

"We are approaching a G7 meeting, but regardless of this, Japan will take firm measures, including intervention, when needed," Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda told reporters when asked about the yen's rise to another 15-year high on Thursday. "This is Japan's basic stance."

Japan, worried a strong yen would hit its vital export sector, intervened in the market for the first time in six years last month, drawing criticism from its peers.

Prime Minister Naoto Kan sounded a little more conciliatory, saying Tokyo wanted to cooperate with its Group of Seven peers on currencies, but in the same breath reiterated the message that the authorities would take "decisive steps" if needed.

G7 leaders hold a closed-doors dinner on Friday.

Emerging anger

Global policymakers have been clashing over the dollar's broad-based decline, with emerging economies stepping up efforts to cap their currencies, actions which developed nations argue could derail economic recovery.

Thailand's finance minister will propose measures to handle the baht's strength at a cabinet meeting next week, Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva said on Friday.

The baht, which has risen about 11 percent against the dollar this year, the second-best performer in Asia after the yen, slipped after the comments.

Russian Deputy Finance Minister Dmitry Pankin said Brazil, China, India and Russia -- the so-called BRICs -- see the current moves in emerging markets currencies as a deeper problem that cannot be solved through a free float.

"Free float is not an exit prescription, it's not a prescription for all illnesses," he told reporters after a meeting of deputy finance ministers in Washington on Thursday.

Chinese premier Wen Jiabao, in Europe this week, politely rejected calls to let the yuan appreciate faster and Brazil on Monday doubled a tax on foreign investors buying local bonds, trying to curb a currency rally.

Yi Gang, a deputy governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), was quoted as saying on Friday that while China would continue to reform its exchange rate regime a sharp rise in the yuan would harm its economy.

Entrenched positions

Despite low expectations for the weekend talks in Washington, moves are afoot to create a more effective forum to tackle currency issues.

France will start talks on overhauling the global monetary system during its forthcoming G20 presidency to improve policy coordination and stem capital flows distorting exchange rates, Economy Minister Christine Lagarde said.

"If you look ... at the latest moves that are taking place, whether from Brazil or from Japan for instance, let alone from China, you really wonder what kind of coordination there is," she said.

German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung reported that IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn plans to present the lender's members with a "systemic stability initiative" which will bring together the world's leading economic powers in a regular forum aimed at resolving currency issues.

Participants would include the United States, large European countries, Japan, China and other emerging market countries that are important for the global financial system, the newspaper said without citing sources.

Officials from developing markets say ultra-low interest rates in rich countries are fueling massive fund flows into their markets, pushing up their currencies and inflating prices of stocks, property and other assets.

Japan cut interest rates to zero this week and the US Federal Reserve is also expected to ease policy further.

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Friday, January 21, 2011

Vietnam grants new gold import licenses, quotas

HANOI - Vietnam's central bank granted permits for gold imports to several firms on Thursday, giving each a quota of 200-300 kg in a bid to narrow the spread between gold prices in the country and in world markets.

The licenses were issued on Thursday afternoon and are valid through Oct. 12, according to a report on Vneconomy.vn, the online version of the Vietnam Economic Times.

Vietnam effectively banned gold imports in mid-2008 to help tackle a trade deficit as the economy overheated, but the central bank has granted import quotas on a selective basis since then.

A source with direct knowledge of the licensing and quotas said nine firms were part of the arrangement, which would put the total volume somewhere between 1.8 and 2.7 tons.

There was no immediate comment from the State Bank of Vietnam, which earlier published an interview on its website quoting a senior official as saying the central bank would consider granting new licences if the price on the domestic market rose "unreasonably high".

Spot gold which has risen some 8 percent over the past month, hit an all-time high for a third straight session on Thursday, rising above US$1,360 an ounce, as a weak dollar pushed investors into bullion in the face of economic uncertainty and speculation of further monetary easing by central banks.

The import licenses were the first granted by the State Bank of Vietnam since February, and came in reaction to a widening spread between onshore prices and those on world markets.

Although the volume is limited it will have "a positive psychological effect" on the market, Vneconomy quoted Nguyen Thi Cuc, deputy director of importer Phu Nhuan Jewelry Co, as saying.

In Vietnam, gold in Hanoi had eased to VND32.77/32.85 million per tael by Thursday evening after rising as high as VND33.07/33.15 million earlier, according to Saigon Jewelry Co Ltd, the country's top dealer. One tael equals 1.21 troy ounces.

The unofficial exchange rate was quoted earlier at around VND19,800/19,850a per dollar at a major Hanoi gold shopa putting the gold price in Vietnam at a premium then of about $20 to global prices.

Markets will be tight

Earlier, the central bank's website quoted Nguyen Quang Huy, director of the foreign exchange department of the State Bank of Vietnam, as saying new imports might be permitted "at appropriate volumes and times, to stabilize the market".

Dealers in Asia said the Vietnamese comments helped nudge the price of gold up on the international market.

"People are going to focus on the fact that the Asian physical market will be tight. Last time Vietnam opened the door to gold imports, gold went up $20.

In percentage terms, it could translate into $30 today," said a Singapore-based trader after

Foreign exchange dealers have said the rise in global gold prices, and curbs on imports, had fed smuggling. Demand for dollars to buy this gold overseas was pushing down the value of the dong.

A similar scenario unfolded a year ago, leading the authorities to issue gold import licenses then, too. The pressure on the dong continued, however, and the central bank devalued the currency and raised interest rates just weeks after relaxing the import ban.

Traders said gold was being smuggled into Vietnam from neighboring countries and Thailand.

Nguyen The Hung, chief executive officer of Vietnam Gold Corp, said domestic supply was limited as investors had sold and businesses had increased gold exports when prices hit VND29-30 million per tael.

Speaking before the new licenses were announced, he said the differential between domestic and world gold prices had to be addressed. "The gap requires measures from the central bank."

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Petrol stockpiled as imports continue

The quickest way to help lower stockpiles of refined petroleum products produced by the Dung Quat Oil Refinery would be to minimize petrol imports, PetroVietnam general director Pham Dinh Thuc said on Thursday.

Domestic petrol consumption has ended up 10 percent lower than predictions for this year, while production at the Dung Quat Oil Refinery was now exceeding the year's plan by 25 percent, Thuc said.

In the fourth quarter of this year, the refinery was expected to produce about 1.9 million tons of petrol, while domestic petrol distributors such as PVOil, Petec and Petrolimex have registered to buy only 430,000 tons from the refinery.

As a result, stockpiles have reached 75,000 tons and are predicted to mount to 727,000 tonnes by the end of the year.

Domestic importers could revise their signed contracts to import fuel and buy up the difference from Dung Quat, Thuc suggested.

However, Petrolimex deputy director Dam Thi Huyen said PetroVietnam should anticipate petrol consumption needs in light of import contracts already signed by domestic distributors, who would have to pay heavy damages if the breached the agreements.

Thuc suggested these importers might be able to re-export products to other buyers, even if they can't break their contracts.

The Dung Quat Oil Refinery faced difficulties during its first period of operation, and it had been expected to operate at only 80 percent of initial capacity this year. PetroVietnam has urged importers to prepare to receive locally-produced petrol in the near future.

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Economic recovery helps businesses increase salaries

Better business results and the recovery of the economy after the global economic crisis are the main reasons for businesses to increase salaries for their employees.

The results of a salary survey conducted by Mercer, one of the world leading providers of human resource consultancy services and Vietnam’s TalentNet Corporation announced Thursday showed that the average salary increase in 2010 is 12.4 percent, nearly 0.2 percent higher than last year’s figure.

Chemical and banking sectors saw the highest salary increase of 13.9 percent, followed by the pharmaceutical sector with 13.5 percent.

The survey, which was conducted at 253 joint venture and foreign-invested companies, also reported that salaries increases were seen in almost all businesses.

The rate of surveyed businesses that did not increase salaries for employees dropped to 0.79 percent from 13 percent in 2009. This shows that companies are now paying more attention to salary policies as well as methods to attract and keep human resources.

The voluntary resignation rate in 2009 also fell 3.1 percent compared to the previous year to 13.3 percent, proving the stability of the labour market.

The Mercer salary report, which has been conducted in Vietnam since 1999, provides businesses with bases to compare their salaries with the market in order to put forth more effective salary polices.

 

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SBV licenses gold imports, gold prices slightly down

The State Bank of Vietnam officially licensed some local enterprises to import 10 tons of gold, or over 200,000 taels, pulling local gold prices down VND300,000 a tael to VND32.8million a tael on Thursday.

The gold import quota is 200-300 kilograms each, and the license will valid through next Tuesday.

Earlier, local gold prices climbed to its lifetime record high of VND33.2 million a tael after an brief ease back to VND32.7million a tael.

The enterprises were given quota for local gold-trading firms to import gold include Sai Gon Jewelry Holding Co (SJC), Phu Nhuan Jewelry Joint Stock Co (PNJ), Agribank Gold, Silver and Gemstone Co, and Sacombank Jewelry Co Ltd (SBJ) among others.

It is estimated that 36 tons of gold were exported in the first six months of the year, according to the General Statistics Office.

Domestic gold prices Wednesday soared to a new record of VND33 million per tael (US$1,690), an increase of VND1.4 million ($72) per tael over previously-quoted price, as speculators created a run on gold shops.

A tael is equivalent to 1.2 ounces.

The gold-selling districts in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City were thronged with people and saw prices change at least four times in the morning, with Sai Gon Jewelry Co (SJC), Sacombank Jewelry Co, Bao Tin Minh Chau, Agribank Jewelry Co and Phu Nhuan Jewelry Co quoting buy/sell prices at VND32.85/33 million.

Domestic gold prices have increased by over 24.4 percent since January, when prices stood at about VND26.5 million ($1,360).

The increase made domestic gold price be VND1 million ($51.28) higher than global gold price, which ignites concerns involving gold smuggling to take profits. Domestic price is normally just VND200,000-300,000 higher than global price.

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Developers focus on lower-cost housing

Developers focus on lower-cost housing

Property developers remain optimistic and are focusing on the medium –
and low-cost housing segments though demand has yet to recover from a
prolonged slump.


Hugo Slade, deputy director of market research company Vietnam Cushman
& Wakefield, said so far this year, 46 development projects with
8,550 apartments costing an average of 15.5 million VND per square metre
came into the market.


Developers continued to launch
their products despite low demand caused by high interest rates and
tortuous loan procedures for buying houses, he added.


According to the director of a property company who wished to remain
unnamed, since the market has been dull for two years, most developers
have run out of money.


Among those are Happy Plaza in Binh
Chanh District which consists of 600 apartments priced at 12.5
million-13.5 million VND per square metre and with an average size of
60sq.m.


Thu Duc Housing Development Joint Stock Co is
confident that the medium-priced apartment segment will continue to do
well for at least the next 10 years and has begun the Truong Tho
apartment project at an average price of 15.5 million VND per square
metre.


It has sold all 120 units in the first phase and kicked off sale for the second phase on September 24.


Van Phat Hung Joint Stock Co plans to initially offer 110 apartments in
its La Casa tower in District 7. It is building a total of 2,000 units
there.


Foreign property developers have begun to show
interest in the medium-priced segment unlike earlier when they were
completely focused on the luxury segment.


An executive at
Singapore-owned CapitaLand Co said the company will start building
apartments costing less than 20 million VND per square metre.


He did not mention a time frame but said it was to diversify the firm's offerings in the Vietnamese market.


Small apartments priced at 400 million VND - 800 million VND are the
most in demand, property brokers said, adding 80 percent of successful
housing transactions are in the medium – and low-cost segment./.

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Petrol stockpiled as imports continue

Petrol stockpiled as imports continue

The quickest way to help lower stockpiles of refined petroleum products
produced by the Dung Quat Oil Refinery would be to minimise petrol
imports, PetroVietnam general director Pham Dinh Thuc said on Oct. 7.


Domestic petrol consumption has ended up 10 percent lower than
predictions for this year, while production at the Dung Quat Oil
Refinery was now exceeding the year's plan by 25 percent, Thuc said.


In the fourth quarter of this year, the refinery was expected to
produce about 1.9 million tonnes of petrol, while domestic petrol
distributors such as PVOil, Petec and Petrolimex have registered to buy
only 430,000 tonnes from the refinery.


As a result, stockpiles have reached 75,000 tonnes and are predicted to mount to 727,000 tonnes by the end of the year.


Domestic importers could revise their signed contracts to import fuel
and buy up the difference from Dung Quat, Thuc suggested.


However, Petrolimex deputy director Dam Thi Huyen said PetroVietnam
should anticipate petrol consumption needs in light of import contracts
already signed by domestic distributors, who would have to pay heavy
damages if the breached the agreements.


Thuc suggested these importers might be able to re-export products to other buyers, even if they can't break their contracts.


The Dung Quat Oil Refinery faced difficulties during its first period
of operation, and it had been expected to operate at only 80 percent of
initial capacity this year. PetroVietnam has urged importers to prepare
to receive locally-produced petrol in the near future./.

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