Thursday, December 9, 2010

AIG flags $2 bln pre-tax profit for AIA in 2010

HONG KONG - AIA Group Ltd, the Asian life insurance business of American International Group Inc, will likely have a pre-tax operating profit of at least US$2 billion for the fiscal year ending on Nov. 30, 2010, AIG said on Saturday.

"We believe that, in the absence of unforeseen circumstances, and, on the bases and assumptions set forth below, our consolidated operating profit for the fiscal year ending 30 November 2010 is unlikely to be less than $2 billion," the statement said.

The bailed-out U.S. insurer plans to list AIA in Hong Kong and the initial public offering could raise about $15 billion, which would make it the biggest-ever insurance IPO and a record offering in Hong Kong.

The profit forecast comes ahead of pre-marketing of the IPO which kicks off on Monday to gauge demand for the offer. The roadshows will begin on Oct. 6, while the listing is scheduled for Oct. 29.

AIA's planned IPO comes after AIG tried unsuccessfully to sell its Asian business earlier this year to Britain's Prudential Plc for $35.5 billion. The British insurer had asked AIG to cut the price to $30.4 billion, but it was turned down, leading to the termination of the agreement.

Hong Kong-based AIA had about $1.84 billion in pretax operating profit in 2009, Prudential said in a March filing.

AIG, which is nearly 80 percent owned by the US government, is disposing of assets to repay taxpayers who committed $182.3 billion to prop up the insurer during the financial crisis.

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AIG flags $2 bln pre-tax profit for AIA in 2010

HONG KONG - AIA Group Ltd, the Asian life insurance business of American International Group Inc, will likely have a pre-tax operating profit of at least US$2 billion for the fiscal year ending on Nov. 30, 2010, AIG said on Saturday.

"We believe that, in the absence of unforeseen circumstances, and, on the bases and assumptions set forth below, our consolidated operating profit for the fiscal year ending 30 November 2010 is unlikely to be less than $2 billion," the statement said.

The bailed-out U.S. insurer plans to list AIA in Hong Kong and the initial public offering could raise about $15 billion, which would make it the biggest-ever insurance IPO and a record offering in Hong Kong.

The profit forecast comes ahead of pre-marketing of the IPO which kicks off on Monday to gauge demand for the offer. The roadshows will begin on Oct. 6, while the listing is scheduled for Oct. 29.

AIA's planned IPO comes after AIG tried unsuccessfully to sell its Asian business earlier this year to Britain's Prudential Plc for $35.5 billion. The British insurer had asked AIG to cut the price to $30.4 billion, but it was turned down, leading to the termination of the agreement.

Hong Kong-based AIA had about $1.84 billion in pretax operating profit in 2009, Prudential said in a March filing.

AIG, which is nearly 80 percent owned by the US government, is disposing of assets to repay taxpayers who committed $182.3 billion to prop up the insurer during the financial crisis.

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North in deficit as south runs surplus

Hanoi's trade deficit reaches nearly US$10 billion, while Ho Chi Minh City reaps a trade surplus of about $300 million in the first nine months of this year, statistics offices in the two cities stated.

In Hanoi, the trade deficit almost doubles the export value, the statistics office reports, adding that in the first nine months of this year, the city is expected to earn an export revenue of $5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.5 percent.

Meanwhile, the import value rises by 18.2 percent to $15.5 billion.

In September alone, Hanoi's trade gap is predicted to hit $1.08 billion, up $70 million over August. Export revenue is expected to drop 0.3 percent against the previous month to $680 million, while import turnover is expected to rise 1.3 percent to $1.76 billion.

“It is easy to understand why Hanoi has a big trade gap. It is a large developing city with a high demand for machinery, equipment, accessories and materials for construction projects," said an official from the statistics office's trade section.

She, however, added that in the first nine months of the year, huge sums are spent on imported luxury goods such as cars, wine, cigarettes and interior furnishings.

The Hanoi Statistics Office earlier forecast that the capital would suffer a trade deficit of $13.8 billion in 2010, with exports earning just $7.6 billion and imports $21.4 billion.

From January to September 2010, HCMC's import turnover is estimated to reach nearly $15.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.6 percent. Its export value is predicted to reach $15.8 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of just 1 percent.

In the coming months, export turnover should rise as market demand would typically rise in the last months of the year, the city's Statistics Office stated. Although HCMC experiences a trade surplus, the office reports that exporters are encountering persistent difficulties.

Officials said the price of raw materials is increasing, which would affect exporters' competitiveness. They also said the city is suffering a shortage of skilled workers and that some industries are facing material shortages, both of which are hitting exports.

In September alone, the city's export revenue month-on-month drops 9.7 percent to $1.7 billion.

Meanwhile, the decrease in gold and crude export volumes also contributed to the fall in the city's total export value, officials said.

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Personal gains drive profit mismatch

Auditors find listed firms in Vietnam overstating or underplaying profits to serve different agendas



Investors check stock prices at Orient Securities Corporation in Ho Chi Minh City. Experts said investors need to read financial reports of listed companies carefully before making a decision.

Inflated and deflated profit figures do not hold huge major surprises for auditors, but the extent of discrepancy discovered recently with several listed companies has raised doubts over the transparency and accuracy of financial reports in Vietnam.

Investors and economists said the gaps were not likely to be oversights, but deliberate actions with an agenda.

Sacombank’s net profit in the first six months was revised down 35.5 percent by auditors, from VND1.17 trillion (US$60 million) to VND755 billion ($38.7 million).

Profits reported by Vietinbank were also adjusted significantly to VND1.65 trillion ($84.6 million) from VND2.37 trillion ($121.6 million) after audit. The bank said it had not included salary payments and certain losses in its report, hence the gap.

Meanwhile, property developer Quoc Cuong Gia Lai was found to report less profits than it should have. The company posted a half-year profit of VND9.7 billion while the audited figure was VND86.2 billion.

While the company explained that it decided to leave more than VND76.5 billion earned by selling a project for the upcoming third quarter report, many investors were skeptical. Listed companies are required to report all information that can affect share prices.

Economist Le Dat Chi of the Ho Chi Minh City Economics University said discrepancies between audits and financial reports of companies could not be taken lightly as something “accidental”.

It’s unacceptable that a head accountant at a bank or a large company fails to complete a financial report properly, he said.

If there are discrepancies in the figures, it means businesses have their own agenda, Chi said. Some companies may want to “save” parts of their profits for a later announcement to attract investors while others do so for some insider trading scheme. Delaying the announcement can give managers and board members some time to purchase more shares before they rise.

“In a market that lacks transparency, it’s definitely possible to hide profits for personal interest,” he said.

Experts said while some insiders may benefit from financial disclosures, a number of shareholders can be negatively affected if they, for instance, decided to sell shares without knowing that the company had actually earned higher profits.

Vietnam began to require public companies to disclose their half-yearly financial reports this year.

These reports, however, are not treated like the annual reports. Auditors only use it to caution businesses about what does not seem right so that due corrections can be made by the end of the year.

Economist Nguyen Van Thuan, head of the financial and banking department at the HCMC Open University, said half-year financial reports follow less stringent procedures than year-end reports, making it easy for companies to hide part of their profits and losses.

However, if the hidden parts are too large, it means the company is not being honest with its shareholders, and this can affect its reputation, Thuan said.

He said while waiting for the authorities to tighten control over financial reports, investors should “protect themselves” by checking the reporting carefully and comparing recent and past figures. A sudden rise or fall must be justified properly, he said.

Investors can also avoid risks by “staying away from shares of companies that engage in inaccurate reporting or try to delay publicizing their reports,” he said.

Economist Nguyen Thi Loan of HCMC Banking University agreed that investors need to equip themselves with skills to read and understand financial reports and audit reports.

It’s also necessary to check the credibility of the auditing firms chosen by businesses, Loan said.

Financial reports provide information based on which investment decisions are made and thus their accuracy is really important. If businesses, for any purposes, try to either exaggerate or understate their profits, the State Securities Commission must take punitive measures, she added.

Nguyen Doan Hung, vice chairman of the State Securities Commission, said the commission would continue to oversee the disclosure of information on the stock market to protect investors.

Violators will be fined in order to maintain investor confidence and keep their interest, Hung said at a recent conference.

Chi believed the authorities should be stricter with dishonest companies.

“If businesses are allowed to report however they like with whatever discrepancy, even the righteous ones will report wrongly for their own benefits,” Chi said. “This is really dangerous for a young stock market like Vietnam.”

With September coming to an end, local businesses will soon announce their financial reports for the third quarter.

As the stock market is still sluggish, some listed companies will want to sharpen up their reports in order to drive their shares up, Chi said.

Investors should be cautious with these quarterly reports as they will not be audited, he warned.

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Japanese retailer puts Vietnamese products on shelves

Japanese retailer puts Vietnamese products on shelvesJapanese retailer Aeon Corporation has begun carrying Vietnamese products in its stores in Japan to take advantage of lower import duties under a free trade agreement signed between the two nations.

Aeon, Japan’s second largest retailer, was looking for Vietnamese suppliers in clothing, food and household products, said Toshihito Hirai, deputy general director of AIC’s Foods Supervision Division. AIC is in charge of purchasing products for Aeon.

Hirai said Vietnam has become a potential supplier of the group as it targets reduced costs and improved competitiveness.

He said the Japanese government had eliminated or reduced tariffs for almost Vietnamese agricultural products after the Economic Partnership Agreement between two countries took effect late in 2008.

The tariffs would reduce to zero from the current 1 to 5 percent for these products, especially seafood, and trading in Vietnamese products would fetch more benefits for the group, said Hirai.

He said shipping charges from Vietnam to Japan were reasonable and affordable and added to the company’s ability to improve its competitiveness in the retail market.

China, Thailand and Vietnam were the group’s top suppliers in Asia, he said. However, Chinese suppliers were focusing on the domestic market and the group had to look for other suppliers.

Vietnam was strong in export of agricultural and farm products like rice, vegetables, coffee, cashew, cassava, tea and oranges, he said.

He told Thanh Nien Weekly that quality was the group’s top concern in trading with Vietnamese suppliers, but many of them were trying to apply international standards in producing and packaging now.

The group would send a team to investigate Vietnamese factories processing seafood and other products in November as part of preparations for its first direct shipment from Vietnam, he said.

Aeon CEO Nagahashi Oyama had said during a visit to Vietnam last year that the retailer was looking for locations to develop a US$50 million trade, service and entertainment complex on 10 hectares in Ho Chi Minh City.

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Wednesday, December 8, 2010

President expects more US investment in ASEAN

Vietnamese State President Nguyen Minh Triet said he expected US
businesses to continue to boost investment in ASEAN, a stable region
with high economic growth and a great potential for development.


Addressing a working session between ASEAN leaders and the US-ASEAN
Business Council in New York on Sept. 24, President Triet spoke
highly of US groups’ intention to pour more investment into ASEAN.


During the upcoming summit in Hanoi in October, ASEAN members will
discuss ways to strengthen the connectivity of large-scale projects to
move closer to the establishment of the ASEAN Economic Community by
2015, which is expected to offer more chances for US investors to boost
investment and increase trade in a large and promising market, he said.


In his speech, US Assistant Secretary of State for East
Asian and Pacific Affairs Kurt Campbell reiterated the US policy of
expanding its ties with ASEAN.


Bilateral trade between ASEAN and the US has reached more than 200 billion USD a year.


ASEAN is now the US’s fifth largest trade partner and fourth largest export market./.

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Seminar highlights Doha talks’ impacts on Vietnam

The Doha round of negotiations and impacts on Vietnam was the main topic of a seminar held in the central coastal province of Khanh Hoa on Friday.

The workshop, hosted by the Department of Multilateral Trade Policy under the Ministry of Industry and Trade, brought together more than 30 delegates, including businesspeople, managers and experts from both in and outside the country.

Prof. Claudio Dordi, chief consultant of the Multilateral Trade Assistance Policy Program Phase III (MUTRAP III), said if the Doha talks wrap up early, it will offer Vietnam chances to expand markets for its key exports such as garments.

It will also help the country narrow the gap between applied and compulsory tariffs and improve its regulations regarding anti-dumping and agricultural subsidies, Dordi said.

This view was shared by Deputy Director of the Department of Multilateral Trade Policy Luong Hoai Thai, who said Vietnam would gain more benefits if the Doha negotiations end soon.

Local businesses need to be clearly aware of the content of the talks, work out proper trade policies and revise their trade plans to make the best of new commitments to opening markets by WTO member economies, Thai added.

Participants also pointed out the fact that Vietnam might be ineligible to enjoy exemption regulations intended for new WTO members if the talks continue. Vietnam would also face more difficulties during negotiations as new issues arise, they said.

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