Tuesday, February 22, 2011

PetroVietnam mulls purchase of BP assets

HCMC - Vietnam Oil and Gas Group, or PetroVietnam, is considering buying BP’s stakes in their joint projects in the country. 

Phung Dinh Thuc, director general of PetroVietnam, told the Daily via the phone on Tuesday about his company’s plan a day after BP’s announcement that it had reached agreement to sell its upstream businesses and associated interests in Venezuela and Vietnam to its Russian joint venture for a total of US$1.8 billion.  

TNK-BP, Russia’s third largest oil company, is owned equally by BP and AAR Consortium grouping Alfa Group, Access Industries and Renova.  

“On Wednesday they informed us directly of the agreement. They said TNK-BP has been up to now their only partner chosen to make direct negotiations, and suggest the Russian company as purchaser,” Thuc said.  

“BP has not let us know about the price of its stakes, but it’s certainly equivalent  to the price offered by TNK-BP. If the price is reasonable for us, we will make a decision to buy the assets,” the director general added.  

BP wanted to sell its assets in its Vietnam-based projects in a bid to make divestments of US$30 billion by the end of 2011 to pay for damages in the Gulf of Mexico oil spill.

However, PetroVietnam as a partner in such projects has some preferential rights, Thuc said, adding that within 60 days upon being informed of the agreement, the Vietnam group has the right to buy the stakes as well as to veto the deal.

Thuc explained the group could disapprove the deal if BP’s partner doesn’t have good technology and competence.

A representative of BP in Vietnam on Tuesday also confirmed the agreement, adding that BP needs regulatory approval from Vietnam’s Government to sell its assets in the country.  

BP said the deal with its equal joint venture will help retain an economic interest in these assets and ensure the interests of BP’s shareholders.  

BP’s stakes put up for sale include a 35% interest in offshore block 06.1, currently operated by BP, 370 kilometers offshore south-east Vietnam and containing the Lan Tay and Lan Do gas fields.  

In addition, BP has a 32.67% interest in the 370 kilometer PetroVietnam-operated Nam Con Son pipeline that transports gas onshore from the Lan Tay and Rong Doi fields, and a 33.3% stake in the joint venture that owns and operates the 739MW Phu My 3 power plant in Ba Ria-Vung Tau Province.  

TNK-BP has agreed to pay US$1.8 billion in cash for the assets. Under the agreement, TNK-BP will pay BP a total deposit of US$1 billion on October 29, with the balance due upon completion of the sale expected in the first half of next year.  

The agreement is said not to affect BP’s other business activities in Vietnam, including a significant lubricants blending and marketing business.

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Mekong Capital reduces stake in restaurant owner

HCMC – Fund manager Mekong Capital has announced that its Mekong Enterprise Fund II is in the process of selling part of its stake in Golden Gate Joint Stock Company, which runs the mushroom hotpot restaurant chain named Ashima, to a financial investor.

After the transaction, the fund will reduce its ownership in the company from 14.9% to 11.6%. The divestment results in a gross return multiple of 3.6 times and an internal rate of return of approximately 72.2% on the shares sold by the fund.

Chris Freund, managing partner of Mekong Capital said in a statement that the divestment was aimed to realize profits despite Golden Gate’s impressive growth.

“We are delighted with the performance of Golden Gate, which has grown from around five restaurants at the time we invested in April 2008 to around 30 now. We remain very excited about the long term future of the company, but as a lot of value had been created in a short period, we saw this as an opportunity to realize some of our profits while maintaining a stake in the company,” he said.

Golden Gate now operates six Ashima restaurants in HCMC and Hanoi. In 2009, the company launched a new product of conveyor hotpot express restaurant named Kichi Kichi to address the casual dining market segment.

By October 2010, Golden Gate had expanded the Kichi Kichi restaurant chain to 22 outlets in Hanoi, HCMC and Singapore.

The US$50-million Mekong Enterprise Fund II is a private equity fund focusing on equity investments in unlisted companies in Vietnam. The fund has completely disbursed its capital.

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Unusual cash stocks pressuring Vietnam's dong: WB

An unusually large amount of money held outside Vietnam's official foreign exchange reserves is continuing to pressure the dong while most other regional currencies strengthen, the World Bank said Tuesday.

"While many currencies are experiencing appreciation of their exchange rate, in the case of Vietnam the reverse is true," the World Bank's lead economist in Vietnam, Deepak Mishra, told reporters.

Vietnam in August devalued the dong for the third time since late last year, saying it was trying to control the trade deficit.

The official exchange rate is at VND18,932 per US dollar, down from VND17,034 or more than 11 percent since late November when the series of devaluations began.

In contrast, regional exchange rates are 10-15 percent stronger than before the 2008 global financial crisis, the Bank said Tuesday in its latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update.

It said East Asia's success in leading the global recovery has attracted a surge of capital that has inflated the currencies, spelling a risk to exports and future growth.

Vietnam's recovery has also been rapid, but uneven, the Bank said. It noted "the current account deficit remains high and households and firms appear to continue to stockpile foreign currency and gold, putting persistent pressure on the local currency."

Mishra, in a briefing for reporters, said Vietnam has enough foreign exchange to pay for its current account deficit but "the real issue" is the amount of foreign exchange held in such forms as savings that are not with the State Bank of Vietnam.

This figure amounts to about 12 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), he said, adding: "That's the reason why there's pressure on the exchange rate."

But he said it is not easy to say the dong is necessarily overvalued.

In its latest report, the Bank estimated Vietnam's full-year real GDP growth at 6.5 percent, inflation at 8.0 percent, and a current account deficit of US$9.3 billion.

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Unusual cash stocks pressuring Vietnam's dong: WB

An unusually large amount of money held outside Vietnam's official foreign exchange reserves is continuing to pressure the dong while most other regional currencies strengthen, the World Bank said Tuesday.

"While many currencies are experiencing appreciation of their exchange rate, in the case of Vietnam the reverse is true," the World Bank's lead economist in Vietnam, Deepak Mishra, told reporters.

Vietnam in August devalued the dong for the third time since late last year, saying it was trying to control the trade deficit.

The official exchange rate is at VND18,932 per US dollar, down from VND17,034 or more than 11 percent since late November when the series of devaluations began.

In contrast, regional exchange rates are 10-15 percent stronger than before the 2008 global financial crisis, the Bank said Tuesday in its latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update.

It said East Asia's success in leading the global recovery has attracted a surge of capital that has inflated the currencies, spelling a risk to exports and future growth.

Vietnam's recovery has also been rapid, but uneven, the Bank said. It noted "the current account deficit remains high and households and firms appear to continue to stockpile foreign currency and gold, putting persistent pressure on the local currency."

Mishra, in a briefing for reporters, said Vietnam has enough foreign exchange to pay for its current account deficit but "the real issue" is the amount of foreign exchange held in such forms as savings that are not with the State Bank of Vietnam.

This figure amounts to about 12 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), he said, adding: "That's the reason why there's pressure on the exchange rate."

But he said it is not easy to say the dong is necessarily overvalued.

In its latest report, the Bank estimated Vietnam's full-year real GDP growth at 6.5 percent, inflation at 8.0 percent, and a current account deficit of US$9.3 billion.

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Vietnam 2010 trade gap seen at $13.5 bln

HANOI - Vietnam on Wednesday projected a stubbornly wide US$13.5 billion trade deficit this year despite a rise in exports of 19.1 percent, three times the initial target, adding to pressure on the authorities to devalue the dong again.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung, reading a report to the opening session of the National Assembly, also forecast economic growth of 7.2 percent in the fourth quarter from a year before, after 7.16 percent in the third quarter.

The government report seen by Reuters forecast gross domestic product would rise next year by between 7 percent and 7.5 percent, following a projected 6.7 percent this year.

This year's projected trade deficit would be up 9.8 percent from the $12.3 billion gap in 2009. A Reuters poll of 12 economists this month had forecast $12.2 billion for this year.

Vietnam's large trade and budget deficits, plus low foreign exchange reserves, make it vulnerable to another devaluation in the dong, which is pegged to the US dollar.

The central bank devalued the currency on Aug. 17 for the third time since November, cutting the reference rate by 2 percent in what it said was a bid to control the trade deficit.

Speculation of another devaluation has been putting pressure on the currency, making businesses reluctant to sell dollars.

State Bank of Vietnam Governor Nguyen Van Giau was quoted on Tuesday as saying the central bank had no plans to adjust the rate even though the dong has been dropping on the unofficial market, according to a state-run newspaper.

Inflation would be at around 7 percent in 2011, the government report said. The government is aiming for 8 percent this year.

With imports in 2010 seen climbing 16.5 percent, the trade deficit would stay below 20 percent of the country's export revenue, it said.

The government targets for 2011 need approval by parliament, which had approved a target for exports to grow 6 percent this year.

Dung said he expected foreign debt this year to rise to 42.2 percent of gross domestic product from 30 percent last year. Government debt would be 44.5 percent of GDP while public debt would hit 56.7 percent of GDP, he said in the report.

Vietnam's credit growth is expected to be 25 percent this year and money supply would grow 20 percent from 2009, fuelling economic growth of 6.7 percent for the whole year, Dung said.

He estimated the bad debt ratio for the whole of 2010 would be kept below 3 percent of loans, against 2.03 percent at the end of 2009.

The annual trade deficit for 2011 would be kept at less than 20 percent of exports, while the budget deficit would be 5.5 percent of GDP, Dung said in televised remarks.

Vietnam's investment for development is projected to be equivalent to 40 percent of GDP in 2011, slightly lower than this year when investment would jump 12.9 percent from last year and make up 41 percent of GDP.

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Volume up, shares off in HCM City

The Wall Street rally overnight could not prevent the VN-Index from shedding 0.73 percent on Oct. 19 to close at 454.25.


About 198 of 268 listed stocks on the HCM City Stock Exchange declined
will – 22 hitting the floor price. They were Hari Hamico Mineral (KSS),
down 1.5 percent to 29,400 VND; Sao Vang Rubber (SVR) and Tai Nguyen
Corp (TNT), each down 1.2 percent to 24,300 VND and 23,500 VND,
respectively.


Only three blue chips managed to gain,
including property trader Vincom (VIC), up 3.17 percent; Masan Group
(MSN), up 0.9 percent; and Bao Viet Holdings (BVH), up 0.79 percent.
Foreigners were the main force behind stock rallies, buying 187,190 BVH
shares, 97,250 VIC shares and 23,630 MSN shares.


Total volume on the day's trade on the southern market rose to 32 million shares, worth 880.2 billion VND (45.1 million USD).


In Hanoi , the HNX-Index surged 1.96 percent to 116.56 points, with decliners outnumbering advancers by 253 to 39.


No blue chips gained, while only two stocks hit the ceiling – Hanoi
Textbooks Printing (TPH), up 0.5 percent to 8,700 VND; and PetroVietnam
Southern Gas (PGS), up 2.5 percent to 38,300 VND.


Volume
of trade reached 27.8 million shares, up from 17.3 million on October
18, posting a turnover of 587.5 billion VND (44 million USD).

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Bank denies new rumours of devaluation

The State Bank of Vietnam is not planning any adjustments to foreign
exchange rates, State Bank Governor Nguyen Van Giau said on Oct. 19 in
Hanoi .


The statement was made to the public in an effort to ease speculative
rumours that the Vietnamese dong might be further devalued – rumours
which had driven the black market price for a US dollar on Oct. 19 to
20,030-20,050 VND, up 150 VND over Octoner 18’s rate.


On
the non-deliverable forward (NDF) market on Oct.19 – a currency futures
market – the US dollar was expected to rise to 19,948.99 VND by next
month, 20,279 VND in three months,20,749.540 VND in six months and
21,520.76 VND by October of next year.


Rumours have also
begun circulating that the interbank rate – the rate at which banks
trade currencies amongst themselves – has already risen as high as
19,870-19,990 VND per dollar, although the official rate set by the
centre bank remains at 18,932 VND per dollar.


Commercial banks are meanwhile quoting nominal sell prices of 19,500 VND per dollar.


The deputy head of the State Bank's HCM City branch, Nguyen Hoang
Minh, said that the central bank has worked with relevant agencies to
establish hot lines to monitor the forex market and stamp out
speculative business practices.


The State Bank also
reaffirmed that it will penalise banks that sell the dollar at prices
higher than the official ceiling rate.


But, Minh noted,
the HCM City branch has not yet caculated practical demand for the
dollar in October, and that market inspections are difficult because of
limited human resources.


A senior central bank official
who asked to remain anonymous commented, "The sudden appreciation of the
greenback has resulted from rising global gold prices and dollar
accomodation. Some enterprises which have revenue in US dollars are also
keeping the dollars in accounts and not selling them back to the banks.


"However, there is a postive balance in the dollar supply in the banking system of 250-300 million USD." ./.

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