Sunday, February 13, 2011

Let businesses take the lead

Let businesses take the leadThe government’s policy to prioritize certain industries and encourage businesses to invest in them should be abandoned, experts say.

They say that businesses should decide what they want to do based on their reading of the market, and the government should support them by creating favorable conditions for business development.

Nguyen Xuan Thanh, a lecturer with the Fulbright Economics Teaching Program, told the Thoi Bao Kinh Te Saigon magazine that the experience of other countries showed choosing a certain industry or industries and giving them priority treatment had failed, most of the time.

“With the development of technologies and the global restructuring of labor forces proceeding at a fast pace, such a policy is no longer suitable,” Thanh said.

Vietnam has focused on several industries based on “the government’s orientation,” he said, but this has not paid off.

The automobile and electronics industries, which have been priorities for many years, have made little progress with most companies still engaged in assembly work, he said. Other sectors like sericulture and shipbuilding had actually regressed despite being given very favorable conditions.

On the contrary, some sectors have grown well even though the government did not set any clear orientation for their development. The tra fish sector, for instance, was driven by farmers as they saw the export potential of the fish, which used to be underrated earlier because of their low value, Thanh said.

“It’s the farmers who decided to raise the fish, not because the government told them to do so,” he said.

Huynh The Du, also from the Fulbright Economics Teaching Program, said the growth of a certain sector of the economy is mainly determined by businesses.

For example, Ho Chi Minh City has a strong financial and banking sector because it is home to many banks and financial companies. “It’s all about costs and benefits. Businesses have flocked to the city not due to any policy but simply because they can find favorable conditions for their business and a better chance to earn profits.”

“Businesses have the best understanding of the market, but sometimes they make mistakes,” Thanh said. “So how come government officials who do not have firsthand business experience decide (what is good) for businesses?”

The success of the tra fish sector was possible because the government gave it the right kind of support – by facilitating research of new breeds and scouting export markets, Thanh said. “That’s the role of the government: to create favorable conditions. Once the business environment has been improved, if an industry fails to grow, it means it doesn’t have the potential.”

Economist Tran Du Lich said infrastructure is one of the bottlenecks that the government needs to remove to help businesses, along with improving the quality of human resources.

Taking logistics as an example, it would be difficult for the industry to grow if the road system to seaports is not improved, said Lich, who is also a National Assembly representative.

Thanh said the government should also review the policies that can have negative impacts on doing business.

For instance, the financial sector in HCMC can be affected by a regulation that bans high-rise buildings in the city center, he said.

The nature of financial services is that they concentrate on a small area, which can be seen in all financial centers like Singapore, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Tokyo. A ban on high buildings will increase rentals in the city downtown, discouraging investors, he said.

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Apple's earnings to showcase one-two punch

SAN FRANCISCO - Apple Inc should affirm next week that its six-month-old iPad tablet computer is selling well despite a shaky consumer market, while the iPhone continues to fend off a strong challenge from rival Google Inc.

Analysts expect fourth-quarter earnings to showcase Apple's powerful one-two punch of the iPhone and the iPad, although some still question whether, with a plethora of rival products set to hit store shelves, Wall Street can justify Apple's stratospheric valuation.

The shares of the second largest corporation in the S&P 500 jumped more than 4 percent on Friday as anticipation mounted ahead of Monday's report.

As has been the case for many quarters, iPhone growth will be the main driver, even as anticipation builds over an iPhone early next year tailor-made for the network of top mobile carrier Verizon Wireless Inc -- a move that would instantly boost Apple's consumer reach in the US.

Apple's shares stand at a record high after breaking through the $300 mark for the first time this week. The company has so far proved resilient in the face of weak US consumer spending. At the same time, gross margins should get a boost from falling component costs.

Although there is little doubt September quarter numbers will be strong, investors have come to demand an out-sized performance, so the bar is raised every three months.

Analysts say a big upside surprise may be tougher to achieve this time around given constraints in iPad and iPhone supply.

But the iPad is playing a bigger role in Apple's business and could be a wild card this quarter, and Wall Street is eager to gauge consumer enthusiasm for the tablet. While demand has been strong, manufacturing bottlenecks have limited production.

Apple trades at nearly 21 times forward earnings, a healthy premium over smartphone and PC rivals.

A second leg

Investors are looking at the iPad as the second pillar of growth along with the iPhone, which has keyed Apple's surge over the past few years, but is facing stiff competition from smartphones based on Google's Android software.

"It's going to be a combination this time of their two most important products, iPhone and iPad, and both are going to do very well," said Gleacher & Co analyst Brian Marshall, who expects Apple to pass Exxon Mobil Corp as the largest company in the S&P 500 in short order.

Apple launched the iPad in April and sold 3.3 million units in the June quarter. Analysts expect sales of 4.5 million to 5 million units for September.

Susquehanna Financial analyst Jeff Fidacaro noted that because investor expectations are so high, there may be some disappointment if the iPad number is below 5 million.

Fidacaro said that, despite Apple's size, there is still room to grow because its key markets -- smartphones and tablets -- are young and expanding.

"You've got two huge product cycles going on right now," he said. "And the iPad has no competition."

iPhone sales should continue to be strong following the June launch of the iPhone 4, with estimates in the 11 million to 12 million unit range.

Fidacaro said Apple is building a CDMA iPhone for expected launch early next year, potentially with Verizon, that would add more than 10 million units to his 2011 sales estimate.

But the threat from Google looms and new rivals are emerging. Android was the most popular platform among US smartphone customers in the past six months, according to Nielsen.

"There's going to be no shortage of competition next year," said Pacific Crest Securities analyst Andy Hargreaves.

Elevated expectations

Apple, famous for its low-ball forecasts, stunned investors in July when it set a revenue outlook for September that was $1 billion higher than Wall Street's target.

The company has beat the consensus estimate in each of the past eight quarters by a minimum of 13 percent and has bested revenue estimates for the past seven quarters.

Hargreaves said investors should expect another beat this time around.

"I don't think it will be a big as what we've seen in the past, at least relative to our numbers, because of supply constraints early in the quarter," he said.

Apple is expected to post earnings of $4.08 a share on revenue of $18.9 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

According to StarMine's SmartEstimate, which places more weight on recent forecasts by top-rated analysts, Apple should post EPS of $4.17 on revenue of $19.1 billion.

Analysts expect a gross margin of 38.2 percent. Apple's margin has been pinched by the iPad, but falling prices for components such as NAND flash, which Apple consumes in huge amounts, could help in the September quarter.

Wall Street expects Apple to report sales of roughly 10 million iPods and 3.5 million to 4 million Mac computers.

Macs have been a steady source of strength for Apple over the past few years. Sales surged 24 percent in the US in the July-September period, according to industry tracker IDC, a far stronger performance that its rivals.

Apple could dominate the headlines next week. After its earnings report on Monday comes a media event on Wednesday focused on Mac computers. That is followed by quarterly results from AT&T Inc, the exclusive US iPhone carrier, and Verizon.

US First Solar to build solar module plant in Vietnam

The US-based First Solar Inc will build a new manufacturing plant in Vietnam alongside with another plant in the US to meet strong demand for its thin-film photovoltaic modules, said the company’s website.

Its two new four-line manufacturing plants that will boost the company's annual manufacturing capacity by nearly 500 MW are expected to be completed in 2012.

Each new plant will create approximately 600 jobs and will be designed to accommodate additional production capacity.

Negotiations and site assessments are ongoing in both countries, but the capital investments for the two plants have yet been unveiled.

The new plants will extend First Solar's previously announced capacity additions, including eight lines in Malaysia, four lines in Germany, and two lines in France.

Earlier this year the company also completed an expansion of its Perrysburg, Ohio, manufacturing plant, which serves as First Solar's primary hub for engineering, research and development.

The two new plants, combined with these previously announced expansions, will nearly double production capacity from 1.4 gigawatts (1,400 megawatts) in 2010 to more than 2.7 GW in 2012.

Unlike other major solar companies, First Solar, the largest in the sector with market value of $11.7 billion, produces modules that use cadmium telluride to produce electricity from sunlight rather than polysilicon.

Booming demand for clean electricity systems has sent sales for many of the leading solar companies worldwide soaring this year, with First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings and Yingli Green Energy Holding Co reporting they had sold out of products, Reuters reported.

Earlier this month, China’s Suntech opened its first in the US as part of its plan to raise output capacity this year to 1.8 gigawatts.

One gigawatt is about the size of a nuclear power reactor.

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Private sector plays greater economic role

Customers shop at a PT2000 store in Ha Noi. Hanh Fashion's PT2000 is popular in the domestic clothing industry. — VNS Photo Truong Vi

Customers shop at a PT2000 store in Ha Noi. Hanh Fashion's PT2000 is popular in the domestic clothing industry. — VNS Photo Truong Vi

HCM CITY — The private sector has played an important role in the national economy in recent years, and now contributes 47 per cent of GDP and 54 per cent of jobs.

Most private-sector companies have developed from small businesses.

Over the last 20 years, for example, bakery manufacturers, including Kinh Do, Duc Phat and A Chau, invested in modern technologies and began to dominate local markets with high quality goods.

Although the textile and garment sector exports most of its goods, some private companies like Thai Tuan and Phuoc Thinh produce brocade for women that sells locally.

Hanh Fashion is well-known for office dresses, while Foci, Viet Thy and PT2000 are highly recognised by youth.

In addition, Minh Long pottery company has reached a very high level of production.

In the industrial sector, Truong Hai has grown as a reputable automobile manufacturer, and 30 other private enterprises have provided components for FDI enterprises.

Along with fast growth in quantity and awareness about corporate governance, the market vision of private companies has led to changes in the way foreigners are investing in Viet Nam.

Foreign investors have begun to co-operate or develop franchise production rights for local private enterprises.

Successful companies have proven their professional ability in modern management and have shifted from a family-company model.

All have achieved significant economic effectiveness.

"Local businessmen have suffered stiff challenges because of the global financial crisis, but they have successfully adapted as only a small number of enterprises have closed operations," Pham Chi Lan, senior economic expert, said.

Private enterprises created 4.3 million jobs or 54 per cent of all jobs during the 2000 – 2008 period. The number is four times higher than that of State-owned businesses.

The average yearly income of workers in 2000 is VND8.2 million or 1.4 times higher than GDP per capita, but in 2008 the ratio doubled to reach VND32 million.

Working capacity has also improved. Average yearly turnover for each worker has increased three times, from VND225 million in 2000 to VND710 million in 2008.

Of the 1,000 enterprises that contributed the highest earnings to the State budget, private enterprises and State-owned and FDI companies each contributed 33 per cent.

The rate illustrates the effectiveness of the private sector and its value to the country.

In addition, many ideas to adjust agency policies developed by the private sector have been rec-ognised.

However, at present, the number of large private enterprises is still low because of the lack of capital and qualified human resources.

But in coming years the number will increase as Viet Nam's membership in the World Trade Organisation provides a trade environment for the development of financially healthy, large businesses.

"Private enterprises have always tried their best to survive and develop," Lan added.

She noted that when Viet Nam cut import taxes following AFTA and WTO roadmaps, many foreign investors immediately closed their factories and began importing products.

However, many local enterprises continued to invest in modern technology and expand their production because of a more favourable trade environment. — VNS

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Saturday, February 12, 2011

Private firms take lead in efficiency, but profits slump

Though Vietnamese private firms take lead in investment efficiency, their profits are still much lower than those of state owned and foreign-invested enterprises, said a recent report.

While private businesses take the lead in terms of investment efficiency, their ratio of profit on total assets is still lower than that of SOEs and FIEs, according to the report on private economic sector development released by the Taskforce on the implementation of Enterprise Law and the UNDP on Wednesday.

The ratio of profit on total assets of private businesses is 1.5 percent, while the figures are 5.4 and 10.6 percent for SOEs and FIEs respectively.

To date, 500,000 enterprises have been established in Vietnam. If comparing the investment capital and the GDP of private businesses, SOEs and FIEs, one can see that the private sector has the highest investment efficiency.

In 2001, the ICOR index (Incremental Capital Output Ratio) of the private sector was 2.63, while the figure was 7.42 for SOEs and 6.29 for FIEs. The ICOR of the private sector was still the lowest in 2007: private businesses only needed VND3.74 to make a VND1 of profit, while SOEs needed VND8.28, and FIEs VND4.99.

Besides, the expenses private businesses have to pay to create jobs are also the lowest. In 2008, SOEs needed VND436.5 million worth of stockholder equity to create a job, while private businesses only needed VND224.1 million.

In 2009, the private economic sector provided jobs to 85 percent of laborers, while SOEs and FIEs 11.5 percent and 3.4 percent, respectively, of the total 47.7 million laborers.

The ratio of total turnover on total assets of the private sector is also higher than other economic sectors. In 2008, private businesses could create VND1.8 billion in turnover from VND1 billion. Meanwhile, with the same sum of money, SOEs created VND0.8 billion, and FIEs VND0.89 billion.

Le Duy Binh, Representative of the Taskforce on the implementation of the Enterprise Law, said that a lot of private businesses have reported loss.

Private businesses have to bear high expenses, therefore their profit is low. Private businesses, for example, have to pay high for leasing workshop premises, while SOEs and FIEs can lease land at lower fees, Binh added.

Besides, private businesses usually find it difficult to access bank loans because they do not have assets to mortgage for loans.

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Viet Kieu begin to invest in VN property market

HA NOI — A large number of Viet Kieu (overseas Vietnamese) have started to invest in the Vietnamese real estate market.

Investments had become more diversified and stronger than ever, said Megagroup's Director Nguyen Xuan Chau.

Chau added that the trend had started around 10 years ago and really picked up over the past two years.

In 2010, he said, a series of resorts and ecological tourism projects were announced with a growing number of North American management and consultancy firms co-ordinating the projects.

To capitalise on this, Minh Viet Investment Joint Stock Company recently bought into the franchise of a famous foreign company in order to use its trademark to invest in Viet Nam's real estate market.

According to the com-pany's director Chi Edward, his company will use the trademark to do business in training and brokerage as well as managing and developing the real estate market in Viet Nam.

The company had previously invested in projects in Ha Noi, HCM City and the northern province of Quang Ninh.

As further proof, at the end of 2009, the director of Binh Thien An Joint Stock Company, Viet kieu Trinh Thanh Huy, decided to return from Russia and announced that his company was looking to pour hundreds of millions of dollars into the real estate market in HCM City.

Binh Thien An is currently involved with the Thao Dien Metropolice project in District 2 of HCM City.

In the second and third quarters of this year, many other tourism developments were announced by overseas Vietnamese investors from eastern Europe.

The Vietnamese real estate market was still young. It had a huge potential to attract investment from overseas Vietnamese, Chau said.

Referring to a recent survey, experts said the new trend would create competitiveness in the market which would help develop it further.

The survey was carried out at an international real estate exhibition with the participation of 46 countries.

The results showed that investment interest in the Vietnamese real estate market had grown by 20-30 per cent since 2008.

Another survey conducted by a British company also found that in the next two years, Viet Nam would become one of the top three markets of interest in the world. — VNS

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GE opens wind-turbine plant

Aerial view of GE manufacturing facility in Nomura Industrial Zone in Hai Phong. — VNS Photo

Aerial view of GE manufacturing facility in Nomura Industrial Zone in Hai Phong. — VNS Photo

HAI PHONG — In response to growing global demand for clean energy, General Electric officially inaugurated its first manufacturing facility in the northern port city of Hai Phong yesterday.

The factory, which has a total investment of more than US$61 million, will manufacture wind turbine components. Parts will be shipped to GE wind turbine manufacturing factories worldwide.

The plant occupies a 8.4ha in Nomura-Hai Phong Industrial Zone and has a designed capacity of 1,500 products per year. It expected to generate 400 jobs.

Initially, the facility will produce generators for 1.5MW wind turbines.

John Krenicki, GE vice chairman and CEO of GE Energy, said: "Viet Nam is an ideal place for GE to invest and expand our manufacturing capability because it has a skilled work force and a bright future in its energy sector."

"With demand for electricity, fuel, and water continuing to rise around the world we believe that building in Viet Nam is a great investment," he added.

Over the past few years, GE has invested in a number of activities in Viet Nam, ranging from clean energy and health care to aviation.

Tran Tuan Anh, deputy minister of Industry and Trade, said he hoped GE would expand its production base in Hai Phong to include other wind turbine components.

"Wind power is a completely new sector in Viet Nam. Demand is increasing and fossil energy resources are exhausted. Thus, recycled energy development will play an important role in ensuring national energy security," he said.

GE and the Ministry of Industry and Trade signed a strategic partnership agreement on Thursday in Ha Noi.

GE will continue investing in the hi-tech clean energy sector in the country, focusing on the manufacture of gas turbines and development of support industries, the deputy minister said.

GE launched in Viet Nam in 1993, one of the very first American companies to do so after the US lifted its trade embargo.

The company later set up a representative office in HCM City in 2001. In 2003, GE established the 100 per cent foreign-invested GE Viet Nam Co Ltd in Viet Nam.

GE is a global infrastructure, finance and media company, operating in the energy, water, transportation, health, oil and gas, finance and information sectors. It reaped a revenue of $40 billion last year. — VNS

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