Friday, February 11, 2011

Amid a flood of mall space, retail hits the skids

Amid a flood of mall space, retail hits the skidsThe retail market in Ho Chi Minh City is believed to have great potential – but that potential doesn’t always translate to success.

When it was opened last December, the Kumho Asiana Plaza in District 1 had some 30 stores selling luxury products. But after months of slow sales, many tenants decided to quit because they could no longer afford the rent.

Now there are only a few stores left in the mall – one of the biggest shopping centers in the city. The tenants continue to pay rent and management fees in the face of flagging sales.

The Kumho Asiana Plaza, operated by Colliers International Vietnam, is located in downtown Ho Chi Minh City. But store owners said even this location doesn’t translate to more customers.

Another shopping mall, Saigon Paragon in District 7, was temporarily shut down early this month.

Le Hoai Anh, general director of Kim Cuong Company, the operator of the shopping mall, admitted that the closure was caused by a failure to effectively run the mall. “We never managed a shopping mall before and that’s why there were mistakes leading to an unexpected business situation,” she told Thanh Nien.

Anh said her company has hired a management firm to run the mall, which is expected to re-open at the end of this year. Saigon Paragon cost US$30 million to build. It was opened April last year.

Analysts said while Ho Chi Minh City is considered a great potential retail market, not all of its shopping centers are successful, especially those far from the city center.

Meanwhile, high rents (from $70 to $180 per square meter) make it hard to ensure profits.

More to come

More retail centers will continue to come online in the city.

According to the Industry and Trade Department, there are 102 supermarkets and 28 shopping malls in the city. The department expected the retail area in the city to reach 740,000 square meters in 2013 - double the current figure.

UK real estate services firm Savills issued a report last week that indicated three more centers would appear before the end of the year: the Crescent Retail, Bitexco Financial Tower and Thien Son Plaza. The trio will add a total of 50,000 square meters of retail space to the market.

The firm said the city’s retail market has “strong potential” in the mid-term.

But right now, some industry insiders aren’t happy.

Tham Tuck Choy, general director of Parkson Vietnam was quoted by Tuoi Tre as saying his company posted an average growth rate of 30 percent a year, but this is lower than expected.

He said, of the customers shopping at Parkson’s outlets, 15 percent are tourists and foreigners working in Vietnam while the rest are local consumers. The purchasing power of this local customer group is rising, but not steadily, Choy said.

A toy retailer who wished to remain anonymous said the retail market depends on the growth of the middle and upper class and their demand for expensive products.

But right now there are more window-shoppers than real buyers.

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Vietnam real estate market offers more affordable options

Vietnam real estate market offers more affordable optionsThe local residential market is undergoing a positive development: affordable housing is on the rise, according to the consulting firm CB Richard Ellis.

In a report released on Tuesday, the firm found that a wave of low-cost housing projects broke ground in Hanoi during the third quarter revealing a movement toward more affordable residential options.

The report authors also said that a new regulation (which caps the proportion of units sold via capital contribution contracts at 20 percent) is expected to help the market by enhancing transparency, placing pressure on developers with low financial capabilities, reducing the threat of price bubbles, and limiting speculative forces.

In the third quarter, the market was quieter with fewer new projects launched. Only 1,950 units were added to the market compared to last quarter’s 4,600 units, the report indicated.

The capital city expects to see the launch of 3,000 units in the fourth quarter, bringing total new supply in 2010 to nearly 16,000 units, it said. Following the opening and improvement of major infrastructure routes, western and southern districts are attracting new residents with easier access to core urban districts.

‘Pent-up demand’

Meanwhile, the fastest-growing segment of the real estate market in Ho Chi Minh City is also affordable homes.

“Twelve affordable projects were launched in the third quarter with asking prices ranging between US$563 and $923 per square meter,” CBRE said in a separate report, released on Wednesday.

“Despite the up-tick in inflation seen in the third quarter, the base of Vietnam’s economy is strong,” said Marc Townsend, managing director of CBRE Vietnam.

Commenting on the trend toward the affordable segment of the market, Rudolf Hever, associate director of Research and Consulting, said it’s clear that “as the Vietnamese economy continues to grow, and incomes increase, there is pent-up demand from people who were previously priced out of the market.”

He said the government has made a lot of effort to support the residential property market, including measures to increase transparency and increase the availability of loans.

“All these efforts work together, encouraging prospective home buyers to look at new and existing developments as a realistic option,” said Hever. “As these affordable projects achieve critical mass, the availability of facilities and amenities in these areas will increase too.”

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Vietnam real estate market offers more affordable options

Vietnam real estate market offers more affordable optionsThe local residential market is undergoing a positive development: affordable housing is on the rise, according to the consulting firm CB Richard Ellis.

In a report released on Tuesday, the firm found that a wave of low-cost housing projects broke ground in Hanoi during the third quarter revealing a movement toward more affordable residential options.

The report authors also said that a new regulation (which caps the proportion of units sold via capital contribution contracts at 20 percent) is expected to help the market by enhancing transparency, placing pressure on developers with low financial capabilities, reducing the threat of price bubbles, and limiting speculative forces.

In the third quarter, the market was quieter with fewer new projects launched. Only 1,950 units were added to the market compared to last quarter’s 4,600 units, the report indicated.

The capital city expects to see the launch of 3,000 units in the fourth quarter, bringing total new supply in 2010 to nearly 16,000 units, it said. Following the opening and improvement of major infrastructure routes, western and southern districts are attracting new residents with easier access to core urban districts.

‘Pent-up demand’

Meanwhile, the fastest-growing segment of the real estate market in Ho Chi Minh City is also affordable homes.

“Twelve affordable projects were launched in the third quarter with asking prices ranging between US$563 and $923 per square meter,” CBRE said in a separate report, released on Wednesday.

“Despite the up-tick in inflation seen in the third quarter, the base of Vietnam’s economy is strong,” said Marc Townsend, managing director of CBRE Vietnam.

Commenting on the trend toward the affordable segment of the market, Rudolf Hever, associate director of Research and Consulting, said it’s clear that “as the Vietnamese economy continues to grow, and incomes increase, there is pent-up demand from people who were previously priced out of the market.”

He said the government has made a lot of effort to support the residential property market, including measures to increase transparency and increase the availability of loans.

“All these efforts work together, encouraging prospective home buyers to look at new and existing developments as a realistic option,” said Hever. “As these affordable projects achieve critical mass, the availability of facilities and amenities in these areas will increase too.”

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Vietnam needs to heed black market, official rate gap, ADB says

Vietnam needs to heed black market, official rate gap, ADB saysVietnam should pay attention to the “widening” gap between black market and official exchange rates, which can be considered a barometer of investor confidence, according to the Asian Development Bank.

“We certainly need to keep watching,” Ayumi Konishi, the ADB’s country director for Vietnam, said at a press conference in Hanoi. The “trend certainly reflects people’s expectations.”

Vietnam’s dong is about 1.8 percent cheaper to buy in the black market than the official rate paid by banks and devaluations are likely in 2011 to bring the exchange rate into line, Credit Agricole CIB said in an Oct. 11 research note.

While other Asian countries like China or Thailand are worried about appreciation, the concern in Vietnam is “sharp devaluation rather than any gradual adjustment in the value of the dong,” said Jayant Menon, an economist in the Office of Regional Economic Integration at the Manila-based ADB.

The dong traded between 19,830 and 19,870 per dollar at money changers in Ho Chi Minh City on Friday afternoon, according to a telephone information service run by state-owned Vietnam Posts & Telecommunications. The rate in the interbank market was 19,499, the weakest level since at least 1993, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The State Bank of Vietnam fixed the reference rate at 18,932 on Friday, a level unchanged since Aug. 18. The currency is allowed to fluctuate up to 3 percent on either side of the rate, which means it can be traded at low as 19,500.

“Vietnam is running a trade deficit so some sort of controlled depreciation of the currency to improve competitiveness is not a bad idea,” Menon told reporters after the conference. “The concern is sudden sharp, erratic falls in the value of the dong, caused by lack of confidence.”

Vietnam’s cumulative trade deficit in the first nine months reached $8.58 billion, according to the General Statistics Office. For September alone, the gap rose to $1.05 billion from $395 million in August.

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India drug firms seek to further tap local market

Representatives of Indian and Vietnamese pharmaceutical companies seek to build business links during the Vietnam-India Business Meeting in Pharmaceutical Industry in HCMC on Thursday - Photo: Tuong Vi
HCMC – The fact that 12 Indian pharmaceutical companies are visiting Vietnam shows they are keen on the potential of the fast-growing local market.

The businesses that began their five-day Vietnam trip on Wednesday are active in fields such as specific drugs, herbs, functional foods, and cosmetics.

India emerged as the largest pharmaceutical exporter to Vietnam last year, with total revenue amounting to US$193 million, Abhay Thakur, consul general of India in HCMC, said at the Vietnam-India Business Meeting in Pharmaceutical Industry in the city on Thursday.

Vietnam’s pharmaceutical industry has expanded 12% a year on average in 2008-2010. In 2008, domestic drug production value reached US$715 million, and the figure rose to US$858 million last year and is forecast to surge to US$1.2 billion this year.

Vietnam exported US$39.96 million worth of medicines and pharmaceutical material last year, up 20% year-on-year. According to a report by Vietnam’s pharmaceutical authorities, the industry has grown slower and has not created new products and only 52% of the pharmaceutical companies meet Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) standards.

“Most locally made drugs are of ordinary type and they don’t have high value. They just meet half the domestic demand,” said Nguyen The Hung, deputy director of the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s HCMC branch.

The industry, he noted, imports 90% of material for local drug production, mainly from India and China.

The country has huge demand for pharmaceutical products imports. Last year saw medicine imports top nearly US$1.2 billion, up 27% year-on-year. Spending on pharmaceutical products was US$6 per person in 2001 but surged to US$16.45 in 2008, and it may reach US$25 by 2015.

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Stock market has youngest general director

Nguyen Hoang Giang, who now heads VNDirect, is chosen for his team leading skills - Photo: Vnexpress
HCMC – VNDirect Securities Co. has appointed 24-year-old Nguyen Hoang Giang as general director after only three years in the company, making Giang the youngest ever to hold the position in Vietnam’s finance and banking sector.

Giang is a graduate of the U.S.-based University of Nebraska, majoring in economic mathematics and computer science. As one of the university’s four most excellent students, he has received a Phillip Schrager Scholarship and was the youngest lecturer in the mathematics faculty there.

Giang entered the securities industry in early 2008 as a collaborator in VNDirect’s professional solution department. He then became manager and director of the department after just a little over one year.

Giang was appointed as the chief architect for the risk management system and professional solutions department while the enterprise and other securities firms were suffering during the global financial crisis. His contributions brought positive results for VNDirect that reported an after-tax profit of VND212 billion in 2009 and VND195 billion in the January-September period this year.

Giang said it would be a big challenge for a 24-year-old as general director of a securities enterprise capitalized at VND1 trillion. “It is not important to show myself off, but I have to know everyone’s strong points and unite them to achieve the target,” he was quoted by Vnexpress as saying.

VNDirect chairwoman Pham Minh Huong said the board of directors had found that Giang was the best candidate for the position, even though the choice for general director of a securities firm is normally the best business director. “Although Giang is not the best in the business sector, he can cooperate well with colleagues and help them run the enterprise,” Huong said.

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Viva Macau bankruptcy hits 900 creditors in Vietnam

HCMC - Global distribution system firm GDS, the former general sales agent of Viva Macau in Vietnam, said Viva Macau’s bankruptcy had affected at least 900 local creditors.

Viva Macau still owes over US$150,000 to GDS, booking agents, travel agencies and passengers in Vietnam, according to GDS. However, the airline’s combined debt in Vietnam could reach around US$1 million if the unpaid bills of local service providers were included.

The company told the Daily on Thursday that there was little chance of the budget airline settling the debt.

GDS said it would continue to track new developments of the Viva Macau case, but noted Viva Macau leased almost assets from offices to aircraft as reported by the bankruptcy management agency under the court of Macau.

Viva Macau reportedly owes some US$38 million to 1,983 creditors including the Macau government, aircraft leasing and service companies, its staff, general sales agents, booking agents, travel firms and passengers in and outside the Chinese territory.

The court of Macao will consider petitions from creditors and decide who will be prioritized to get compensation after the court allowed Viva Macau to go bankrupt at the first two-day hearing in Macau last month because the carrier was unable to resume services.

Viva Macau started to fly to Tan Son Nhat Airport in December 2007 and Noi Bai Airport in early 2009. The carrier operated daily service to Tan Son Nhat and three weekly flights to Noi Bai before it had to call off its flights to Hanoi on March 27 and HCMC a day later.

In Vietnam, Indochina Airlines faces legal action from booking agents after the Civil Aviation Administration of Vietnam (CAAV) said this agency did not know how to contact the private airline to tell it to pay deposit debts for over 30 agents.

An official of CAAV told the Daily that he had once attempted to phone Ha Hung Dung, chief executive officer of Indochina Airlines, informing him of the agents’ calls for debt payment and order this carrier to send a report on how to settle debt, but Dung did not answer the call.

CAAV also received back a document it sent to the address of Indochina Airlines in its business license to inform the carrier of the agents’ request for their deposit payment. In addition to agents, the carrier has not paid tens of billions of dong to jet fuel and service providers, including Vietnam Air Petrol Co.

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