Saturday, February 5, 2011

Toyota may end Corolla exports from Japan due to yen

TOKYO - Toyota Motor Corp is considering halting exports from Japan of the Corolla sedan from around 2013 and shifting that output overseas due to the yen's strength, the Tokyo Shimbun daily reported on Thursday.

The yen's rise to a 15-year high against the dollar is threatening the competitiveness of Japanese exports and prompting manufacturers to consider shifting more output outside Japan.

The Corolla is one of Toyota's best-selling models and is built in 15 countries. In 2009, Toyota made about 235,000 Corollas in Japan -- nearly 60 percent of those exported -- and 815,000 abroad. Toyota is due to start producing the Corolla at its new Mississippi plant from autumn 2011 after the closure of a California factory formerly owned with General Motors Co.

Toyota spokesman Paul Nolasco said the company was constantly looking to optimize its global production structure, but that no decision had been made regarding the shift of export-bound Corollas outside Japan.

"At the current exchange rate, the more Corollas Toyota ships overseas, the more money it loses," Advanced Research analyst Koji Endo said. He added that to make money on the compact Corolla model, Toyota would have to shift production overseas or drastically reduce costs, or both.

Tokyo Shimbun reported that the world's largest car maker was also considering shifting production of all Corolla cars sold in Japan to one of its subsidiaries. Toyota currently builds the model at its own Takaoka factory, and at two units, Kanto Auto Works and Central Motor Co.

In a similar move aimed at making its domestic operations more competitive, Nissan Motor Co said this month it may turn one of its Japanese factories into a new subsidiary, allowing it to broach wage negotiations with labor unions and seek lower prices from suppliers.

Most automakers have vowed not to close any assembly plants in Japan but executives have warned that suppliers may be forced to shift production abroad in a threat to jobs in Japan's fragile economy.

"Maybe they don't realize just how much damage poses on companies," Mitsubishi Motors Corp President Osamu Masuko told reporters on Thursday.

"I guess we have to speed up our efforts to deal with the strong yen. Shifting production overseas takes time, but for example we can vastly increase purchases of auto components from abroad. That can be done in the near term."

Toyota is aiming to make its domestic factory lines more flexible and introduce other changes to be able to break even at a dollar rate of 90 yen and capacity utilization of 70 percent, equivalent to daily production of 12,000 units.

The dollar was trading near 81 yen on Thursday.

A production shift away from Japan would mean even more capacity in Japan would go unused unless Toyota is able to fill the hole with other cars.

Overall production of vehicles in Japan plunged 31.5 percent in 2009 to 7.93 million units, below 10 million for the first time in eight years. Exports fell by a much sharper 46 percent as automakers sought to limit foreign exchange losses.

Shares of Toyota closed up 3 percent at 2,930 yen, while the benchmark Nikkei average gained 1.9 percent.

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Vietnam public debt rises to $600 per capita

With Vietnam's total public debts at 51.7 percent of GDP, each Vietnamese owes nearly US$600, according to the “global debt clock” in the UK-based magazine, The Economist.

The clock, available at http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clock, does not stop ticking, adding several hundred thousand dollars every second.

At 9:30 am in Vietnam today, the global debt had risen to $39.95 trillion from $39.79 trillion at 3:00 pm Tuesday.

Vietnam's debt was $50,935,068,493 (US$50.9 billion), meaning its 87.6 million people each owe $581.45.

Since 2001, when it was a mere $106 per capita and 26.6 percent of GDP, the figure has been rising.

The forecast for 2011 is slightly optimistic since, though the debt will increase by nearly $6 billion, as a ratio of GDP it will fall to 50.9 percent. The per capita figure will be $638.

The US, Canada, and Western Europe lead the ranking. Every French citizen, for instance, bears a debt of nearly $32,000 while in Greece it is $34,000.

The International Monetary Fund warned recently that unemployment, high public debt, and a weak banking system will be a threat to global prosperity.

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World Bank arm eyes stake in ABBank

The World Bank’s International Finance Corp said in its website that it is plans to invest in An Binh Commercial Joint Stock Bank.

It will buy convertible bonds for around US$50 million and provide a $25 million loan to the bank, including $5 million from its Clean Technology Fund.

The investment will help ABBank, as An Binh is known, ensure capital adequacy which has recently been raised to 9 percent of assets, the international norm for banks under the Basel II agreement.

The $25 million loan is meant to help businesses undertake environmental protection and energy saving activities, and is consistent with the World Bank’s goal of using the market mechanism to mitigate the impacts of climate change in Vietnam.

ABBank has a tie-up with the IFC for two programs -- consultancy for small and medium-sized enterprises and support for firms committed to environmental protection and energy saving.

IFC also pledged to provide supports on technique, customer consultancy and improve corporate management for the local bank.

ABBank has a chartered capital of VND3.5 trillion ($179.5 million) which is likely to rise to VND3.83 trillion following a proposed bonus issue at the end of this year at the rate of one share to every 10 held.

Its main shareholders include the Electricity of Vietnam Group with 24 percent, Malaysia’s Maybank (20 percent), and its chairman, Vu Van Tien (17 percent).

The bank has assets of VND36.26 trillion and outstanding loans of around VND18 trillion.

In the first nine months it reported a pretax profit of VND546.2 billion, a year-on-year rise of 94 percent.

Last week the IFC also signed a memorandum of understanding to invest in the Vietnam Commercial Joint Stock Bank for Industry and Trade (VietinBank).

VietinBank said the IFC plans to buy a 10 percent stake for $190 million.

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Illegal trade in tobacco continues despite strict ban

HA NOI — Illegal tobacco continues to flood the domestic market despite a crackdown on smuggling that began one month ago, according to local media.

In accordance with Decree No 76, those who smuggle, trade or store less than 1,500 illegal cigarette packs will be fined up to VND100 million (US$5,200) and prosecuted if they are in possession of a larger quantity.

Smokers can still easily purchase illegal tobacco at small shops along many streets in Ha Noi, including Hang Hanh, Hang Buom and Nguyen Sieu, according to municipal market watchers.

Illegal tobacco vendors have been forced to operate more carefully to cope with the crackdown.

Head of Market Watch Team No 2 in Ha Noi Luu Bach Chien said several tobacco shops that were selling illegally-imported tobacco purchased small quantities, which were difficult to detect.

The Ha Noi Market Watch Department has busted 17 smuggling operations, seizing more than 2,300 packs, since early September.

HCM City's Market Watch Team 5B busted an operation at Ta Uyen-Pham Huu Chi crossroads and seized 8,890 cigarette packs in late September.

Deputy head of the Ha Noi Market Watch Department Vuong Chi Dung said the new ban would help discourage smugglers.

However, Dung said it was difficult for officials to identify and punish tobacco magnates because illegal cigarettes are often traded by vendors or sold at small shops that purchase small quantities.--VNS

According to the Viet Nam Tobacco Association, illegal cigarettes make up 20 per cent of the domestic market share, which accounts for VND3-3.5 trillion ($153-178 million) in losses from the State budget because the cigarettes are not taxed. — VNS

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Friday, February 4, 2011

Measures urged to stabilise prices

HA NOI — Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung has called for greater implementation of measures to stabilise prices in the final months of the year.

Directive No1875/CT-TTg, released on Monday, called on ministries, agencies and municipal and provincial authorities to implement strategies to stabilise the market and boost production, in accordance with Decree No18/NQ-CP, dated April 2010. The move is designed to ensure the country's growth rate reaches 6.5 per cent, while the consumer price index does not rise above 8 per cent.

According to the leader, the economy, which typically suffers during the final months of the year, will also have to weather capital shortages, rises in the price of essential goods, power shortages and potential animal epidemics.

The directive regulates that ministries of Industry and Trade, Agriculture and Rural Development, Health, and Construction should complete and release production-development plans, as well as strategies for distributing essential goods such as petrol and gas, fertiliser, building steel, cement, foodstuffs and medicines in the fourth quarter.

The Ministry of Industry and Trade should review production capacity and supply to ensure there are sufficient quantities of goods for production and consumption from now to the first quarter of 2011.

Finance Ministry agencies are required to enhance supervision of commodity prices – particularly medicines, milk products, building materials and gas, while stabilising the price of electricity and coal sold to the cement industry and fertilisers and paper producers.

The State Bank of Viet Nam should promulgate policies that allow commercial banks to quickly withdraw money from circulation to reduce price hikes. Meanwhile, food suppliers should ensure there is enough food, particularly in cities, industrial zones, populous areas and those vulnerable to natural disasters, the directive said. — VNS

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State to develop fertiliser plan

Fertiliser is packaged at a plant in HCM City's Cu Chi District which supplies fertilisers for agricultural production in southern provinces. Fertilisers are seen by the Government as a strategic product. — VNA/VNS Photo Hoang Hai

Fertiliser is packaged at a plant in HCM City's Cu Chi District which supplies fertilisers for agricultural production in southern provinces. Fertilisers are seen by the Government as a strategic product. — VNA/VNS Photo Hoang Hai

HA NOI — The control of fertiliser production and distribution systems, to be approved this month, is expected to benefit both farmers and businesses.

Speaking at a conference on Tuesday outlining fertiliser production development for the next 10 years, the Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade (MIT), Nguyen Hai Nam, said fertiliser was a strategic product that helped ensure national food security.

Although the Government had co-operated closely with the Viet Nam Fertiliser Association in planning fertiliser production and quality, farmers were still faced with shortages and "price fever" when demand soared before planting, said Phung Ha, head of MIT's Department of Chemicals.

Secretary of the association Nguyen Hac Thuy said there had been no clear development strategy for the fertiliser industry and that demand was unpredictable.

According to the association, farmers lose VND1.2 trillion (US$60 million) each year due to the low-quality and fake fertiliser products.

This year, the nation's demand for fertiliser is forecast to reach 9.1 million tonnes, but domestic production can satisfy only 60 per cent of this.

A report from An Giang University's Economics Faculty claims farmers have to buy fertilisers at prices 30-40 per cent higher than those offered by producers. They often have to buy low-quality products from small firms because State authorities can only supervise large fertiliser companies.

Ha said one of the reasons fertiliser prices were often unstable was that distribution systems developed spontaneously. Products came to farmers through many middlemen.

Ha said when planning was approved, fertiliser distribution systems would develop based on the establishment of agricultural economic areas, demand in each area, the characteristics of local economic activities and farmers' purchasing practices.

Under the plan, from now to 2015, fertiliser distribution centres will be set up in Lao Cai, Phu Tho, Bac Giang, Hai Duong, Ninh Binh, Nghe An, Da Nang, Binh Dinh, Dac Lac, Lam Dong, Long An, An Giang, Can Tho and Kien Giang.

Phan Dinh Duc, general director of PetroVietnam Fertiliser and Chemicals Joint Stock Company, suggested that small-scale producers who did not have the financial capacity to build their own distribution systems could join those of larger companies.

Ha said to make planning more efficient, State agencies should change their ways of management. He added that producers must be granted certificates setting out conditions for business required by the Ministry of Industry and Trade. Otherwise they should not be allowed to trade.

He said this would help weed out small-scale companies using old technology and those producing low-quality fertiliser.

Head of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development's Planting Department Nguyen Tri Ngoc said management of fertiliser distribution systems should be placed in the hands of one authority to prevent overlapping among ministries and agencies.

Tri added that production standards should be completed to enable management of the industry to be tightened. — VNS

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Business confidence index rises

Manufacturing super light bags for pupils in Ladoda Production Service Trading Leather Products Co. — VNA/VNS photo Tran Viet

Manufacturing super light bags for pupils in Ladoda Production Service Trading Leather Products Co. — VNA/VNS photo Tran Viet

HA NOI — The business confidence index (BCI) rebounded in the third quarter this year after it increased three points over the second quarter and 37 points against the same period in 2008.

"This survey attracted the participation of 262 companies from 11 primary sectors and industries in Viet Nam," said a representative from WVB FISL. "More than 70 per cent of the companies are small- and medium-sized enterprises."

With respect to current economic conditions, about 70 per cent of the participants thought overall economic conditions had improved compared to one year ago. About 25 per cent of the participants agreed that there was no change with the current economic conditions, and 4.2 per cent said that current economy conditions had not improved.

About 84.35 per cent of the participants said they believed the economy would continue to improve and 15.65 per cent said they believed there would be no change.

Optimistically, about 72 per cent of the individuals questioned said they believed their enterprises' profits would likely increase during the next 12 months.

As many as 60 per cent of the participants said they expected their employment and investments in fixed assets to increase.

During the last quarter, the number of businesses that were concerned about their revenues and profits was up 0.06 per cent and 1.96 per cent, respectively.

The survey also showed that many domestic businesses were still concerned about inflation and fluctuations in the exchange rate between the US dollar and Vietnamese dong.

Most participants surveyed said they believed foreign investors would focus on four major areas including real estate, consumer product manufacturing, information technology, and mining.

Nearly 20 per cent of them believed that foreign investors would pour money into the information and technology sectors, while 31.27 per cent said the real estate sector would receive more investments.

The survey also found that many businesses believe that the tourism, footwear, garment and pharmaceutical sectors will continue to gain momentum and receive increased investments in the future.

The quarterly survey was conducted by the Viet Nam World Vest Base Financial Intelligence Services (WVB FISL) and PetroVietnam Finance Investment and Consultancy Company (PVFC Invest). — VNS

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